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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 43.96%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.61%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
Result | ||
Cambridge United | Draw | Stevenage |
28.15% ( 0.04) | 27.9% ( 0.07) | 43.96% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 45.88% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.4% ( -0.22) | 59.59% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.07% ( -0.17) | 79.93% ( 0.17) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.82% ( -0.09) | 37.18% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.03% ( -0.09) | 73.97% ( 0.09) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% ( -0.16) | 26.96% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.71% ( -0.21) | 62.29% ( 0.21) |
Score Analysis |
Cambridge United | Draw | Stevenage |
1-0 @ 9.92% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 6.43% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 28.15% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.02% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.88% | 0-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.61% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 43.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 22 | 21 | 44 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 18 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 34 | 16 | 18 | 42 |
3 | Wrexham | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 14 | 17 | 42 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 39 |
5 | Stockport CountyStockport | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 28 | 25 | 3 | 31 |
7 | Reading | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 31 |
8 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 31 |
9 | Barnsley | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 30 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 28 |
11 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 23 | 19 | 4 | 27 |
12 | Blackpool | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 27 |
14 | Stevenage | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 26 |
15 | Leyton Orient | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 25 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 24 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 18 | 1 | 24 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 23 |
19 | Bristol Rovers | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 22 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 32 | -12 | 19 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 20 | 35 | -15 | 17 |
23 | Burton Albion | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 21 | 41 | -20 | 12 |
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