Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.4%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.93%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.