Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 46.59%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.04%) and 0-2 (8.8%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.