Wigan2 - 0Carlisle
Form, Standings, Stats
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
We said: Wigan Athletic 2-1 Carlisle United
Although Wigan have experienced a poor run of recent results, we think that they will make full use of home advantage to beat a Carlisle side that have lost four of their last five league games. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Carlisle United |
45.61% ( 0.12) | 25.61% ( 0.02) | 28.77% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.32% ( -0.14) | 50.68% ( 0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.42% ( -0.13) | 72.58% ( 0.12) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.81% ( -0.01) | 22.19% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.4% ( -0.01) | 55.6% ( 0.01) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% ( -0.17) | 31.95% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.6% ( -0.2) | 68.4% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Carlisle United |
| 1-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0)2-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.73% 4-0 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 45.61% | 1-1 @ 12.17% 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.95% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.77% |
