Wigan0 - 1Derby
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One
Thursday, December 21 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Wigan Athletic 1-2 Derby County
Looking at past results between Wigan and Derby County, we anticipate a cagey Boxing Day at the DW Stadium. Warne's men head into the game as one of the most in-form sides in the division and we fancy them claiming all three points in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Derby County |
25.61% ( -0.02) | 25.01% ( 0) | 49.38% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.75% ( -0.04) | 50.25% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.79% ( -0.03) | 72.2% ( 0.03) |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.79% ( -0.03) | 34.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.09% ( -0.04) | 70.9% ( 0.04) |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.63% ( -0.01) | 20.37% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.22% ( -0.01) | 52.77% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Derby County |
| 1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.01% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0)Other @ 2.22% Total : 25.61% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.68% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0)1-4 @ 2% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 49.37% |
