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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 49.38%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 25.61% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.82%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derby County in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Derby County.
Result | ||
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Derby County |
25.61% ( -0.02) | 25.01% ( 0) | 49.38% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.39% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.75% ( -0.04) | 50.25% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.79% ( -0.03) | 72.2% ( 0.03) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.79% ( -0.03) | 34.21% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.09% ( -0.04) | 70.9% ( 0.04) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.63% ( -0.01) | 20.37% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.22% ( -0.01) | 52.77% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Wigan Athletic | Draw | Derby County |
1-0 @ 7.47% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.01% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.28% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 25.61% | 1-1 @ 11.89% 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25% | 0-1 @ 11.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.46% 0-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 5.02% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.86% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 49.37% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 19 |
2 | Wrexham | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 17 |
3 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 14 |
4 | Blackpool | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | Barnsley | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
7 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 13 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 13 |
9 | Stockport CountyStockport | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 12 |
10 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 12 |
11 | Stevenage | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 11 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 14 | 0 | 11 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 10 |
14 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Reading | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 9 |
17 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 8 |
18 | Leyton Orient | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 8 |
19 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 7 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 7 |
21 | Bristol Rovers | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
22 | Burton Albion | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 13 | -5 | 4 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 4 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 15 | -9 | 1 |
> League One Full Table |