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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 37.53%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.49% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.93%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (10.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
34.49% ( 0.55) | 27.99% ( -0.01) | 37.53% ( -0.53) |
Both teams to score 47.74% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.71% ( 0.11) | 58.29% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.09% ( 0.09) | 78.92% ( -0.08) |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.14% ( 0.42) | 31.86% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.7% ( 0.48) | 68.3% ( -0.47) |
Wigan Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.06% ( -0.26) | 29.94% ( 0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.95% ( -0.32) | 66.05% ( 0.32) |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
1-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.83% Total : 34.48% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.54% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.99% | 0-1 @ 11.5% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.93% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 15 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 35 | 18 | 17 | 35 |
2 | Wrexham | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
3 | Stockport CountyStockport | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 26 | 15 | 11 | 30 |
5 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 26 |
6 | Barnsley | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 26 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 23 | 20 | 3 | 26 |
8 | Reading | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 26 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 26 |
10 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 23 |
12 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 3 | 21 |
13 | Bristol Rovers | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 21 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 17 | -1 | 19 |
15 | Stevenage | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 19 |
16 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 17 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 17 |
19 | Blackpool | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 30 | -8 | 17 |
20 | Crawley TownCrawley | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 27 | -12 | 16 |
21 | Leyton Orient | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
22 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 12 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 11 |
24 | Burton Albion | 15 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 8 |
> League One Full Table |