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Championship header 2

League One
Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Carlisle United

Fleetwood
1 - 1
Carlisle

Stockley (35')
Wiredu (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Moxon (27')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-0 Carlisle United

 While both these sides are carrying very poor recent records into this match, Fleetwood's draw away to league leaders Portsmouth last week would have given them a much-needed boost of confidence, which they will look to carry into this match. With both sides averaging less than a goal a game, we are certainly not expecting a goal fest here, but we are backing the hosts to edge this one by a single goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawCarlisle United
43.38% (-0.159 -0.16) 25.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02) 31.42% (0.149 0.15)
Both teams to score 55.76% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)47.68% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.12% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.88% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.05% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)21.95% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.76% (-0.116 -0.12)55.24% (0.123 0.12)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.44% (0.092000000000013 0.09)28.56% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.65% (0.116 0.12)64.35% (-0.11 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 43.39%
    Carlisle United 31.42%
    Draw 25.19%
Fleetwood TownDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 9.51% (-0.017000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.86% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 43.39%
1-1 @ 11.91% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.27% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.19%
0-1 @ 7.86% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.46% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.12% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.06% (0.016 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.42%

How you voted: Fleetwood vs Carlisle

Fleetwood Town
28.6%
Draw
28.6%
Carlisle United
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Carlisle
1-1
Fleetwood
Moxon (36')
Huntington (4'), Mellish (45+2')
Wiredu (45+4')
Brown (5'), Nsiala (73'), Earl (85'), Rooney (90+6')
> Preview
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-1
Fleetwood
Idehen (90')
Garner (46')
Sep 1, 2020 7pm
Group Stage
Carlisle
1-3
Fleetwood
Toure (36')
Riley (90+2')
Toure (90')
Camps (44'), Saunders (57', 68')
Matete (90+2')
Nov 8, 2017 7.45pm
-
Carlisle
1-2
Fleetwood
Miller (86')
Devitt (33'), Miller (55')
Sowerby (10'), Burns (44')
Biggins (29')
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
First Round
Fleetwood
1-2
Carlisle
Hiwula (69')
Maguire (6'), O'Neill (75'), Bolger (90')
Rodgers (105')
Miller (22'), Miller (101')
Devitt (71'), Liddle (85'), Grainger (95'), Miller (104'), Hope (116')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe19134243222143
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham20125330131741
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield19113530181236
5Stockport CountyStockport2096532211133
6Reading199463028231
7Barnsley208662926330
8Bolton WanderersBolton189362829-130
9Lincoln CityLincoln207762625128
10Blackpool197572931-226
11Mansfield TownMansfield187472222025
12Stevenage187471517-225
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough197393735224
14Charlton AthleticCharlton196671819-124
15Exeter CityExeter197391721-424
16Wigan AthleticWigan196581716123
17Rotherham UnitedRotherham186571920-123
18Leyton Orient196491920-122
19Northampton TownNorthampton205692129-821
20Bristol Rovers1963101728-1121
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge1945102031-1117
23Burton Albion1926111630-1412
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1932141939-2011
> League One Full Table


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