Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 29.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.