EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Harrogate1 - 0Carlisle
Folarin (23')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the EFL Cup First Round clash between Harrogate Town and Carlisle United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Doncaster 0-1 Harrogate
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.32%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
27.46% ( -0.02) | 25.28% | 47.25% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.09% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
