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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.77% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Barrow |
35.77% ( 0.36) | 26.71% ( -0.1) | 37.52% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 51.85% ( 0.35) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.82% ( 0.43) | 53.18% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.25% ( 0.37) | 74.75% ( -0.36) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.49% ( 0.43) | 28.51% ( -0.42) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.72% ( 0.53) | 64.28% ( -0.53) |
Barrow Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.53% ( 0.06) | 27.47% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.03% ( 0.07) | 62.96% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Barrow |
1-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.33% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 2.58% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 35.77% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.7% | 0-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 3.53% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 37.51% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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