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Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Cambridge United

Accrington
1 - 2
Cambridge

Presley (83' pen.)
Coyle (73'), Whalley (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dunk (42'), Thomas (65')
Lankester (28'), Digby (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cambridge
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Cambridge United

We anticipate a hotly-contested affair on Saturday, given the magnitude of the fight for survival, and although both will feel a victory is necessary, they will also be desperate to avoid a defeat, and we see them sharing the spoils as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawCambridge United
38.03% (0.78 0.78) 25.87% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 36.1% (-0.704 -0.7)
Both teams to score 54.67% (0.23 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (0.309 0.31)49.6% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (0.274 0.27)71.62% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.574 0.57)25.51% (-0.575 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.779 0.78)60.36% (-0.779 -0.78)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)26.6% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.343 -0.34)61.82% (0.342 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 38.03%
    Cambridge United 36.1%
    Draw 25.86%
Accrington StanleyDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.33% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.03%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.1%

How you voted: Accrington vs Cambridge

Accrington Stanley
Draw
Cambridge United
Accrington Stanley
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Cambridge United
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Cambridge
0-1
Accrington

Williams (65')
Rodgers (45+2')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 34
Cambridge
2-0
Accrington
Smith (66'), Hoolahan (90+5')

Nottingham (90+3')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
gameweek 2
Accrington
2-1
Cambridge
Butcher (14'), Pell (30')
Pell (20'), Pritchard (34'), Rodgers (81')
Ironside (79')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Cambridge
Jackson (57')
Hughes (39'), Johnson (90')

Ikpeazu (38'), Deegan (65'), O'Neil (76')
Nov 11, 2017 3pm
Cambridge
0-0
Accrington

Ikpeazu (90'), Halliday (90')

Kee (24'), Johnson (61'), Thorniley (69'), Conneely (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham433193763046102
2Wrexham452611865343189
3Stockport CountyStockport452412969412884
4Wycombe WanderersWycombe452412969422784
5Charlton AthleticCharlton4524101164422282
6Leyton Orient452361668472175
7Reading4521121266531375
8Bolton WanderersBolton45207186669-367
9Blackpool4416161268571164
10Huddersfield TownHuddersfield45197195751664
11Lincoln CityLincoln4516131664541061
12Barnsley451610196571-658
13Exeter CityExeter451511194962-1356
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham441510195157-655
15Stevenage441510194048-855
16Wigan AthleticWigan441315163840-254
17Peterborough UnitedPeterborough441312196575-1051
18Northampton TownNorthampton451214194765-1850
19Mansfield TownMansfield43139215367-1448
20Burton Albion441113204762-1546
21Crawley TownCrawley451110245582-2743
22Bristol Rovers45127264372-2943
23Cambridge UnitedCambridge45911254471-2738
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury4589284077-3733


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