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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Cambridge United |
38.03% ( 0.78) | 25.87% ( -0.08) | 36.1% ( -0.7) |
Both teams to score 54.67% ( 0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.39% ( 0.31) | 49.6% ( -0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.37% ( 0.27) | 71.62% ( -0.28) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.48% ( 0.57) | 25.51% ( -0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.63% ( 0.78) | 60.36% ( -0.78) |
Cambridge United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.4% ( -0.26) | 26.6% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.17% ( -0.34) | 61.82% ( 0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Cambridge United |
1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 2.88% ( 0.11) 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.53% Total : 38.03% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.86% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.18% Total : 36.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 29 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 26 |
3 | Wrexham | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 25 |
4 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 14 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 23 |
7 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 22 |
8 | Barnsley | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 22 |
9 | Reading | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 20 | 1 | 22 |
10 | Stockport CountyStockport | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 21 |
11 | Exeter CityExeter | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 10 | 3 | 19 |
12 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 19 |
13 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 18 |
14 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 17 |
15 | Stevenage | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 17 |
16 | Blackpool | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 16 |
17 | Bristol Rovers | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 16 |
18 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 15 |
19 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 14 |
20 | Leyton Orient | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 11 |
21 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 10 |
22 | Crawley TownCrawley | 13 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
23 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 8 |
24 | Burton Albion | 12 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 13 | 25 | -12 | 4 |
> League One Full Table |