MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 02:01:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Birmingham logo
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Charlton Athletic
Crawley Town
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wrexham AFC
Wycombe Wanderers
Accrington Stanley
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Cambridge United

Accrington
1 - 2
Cambridge

Presley (83' pen.)
Coyle (73'), Whalley (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dunk (42'), Thomas (65')
Lankester (28'), Digby (45+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Accrington Stanley and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Cambridge
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Cambridge United

We anticipate a hotly-contested affair on Saturday, given the magnitude of the fight for survival, and although both will feel a victory is necessary, they will also be desperate to avoid a defeat, and we see them sharing the spoils as a result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38.03%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (8.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawCambridge United
38.03% (0.78 0.78) 25.87% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08) 36.1% (-0.704 -0.7)
Both teams to score 54.67% (0.23 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.39% (0.309 0.31)49.6% (-0.308 -0.31)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.37% (0.274 0.27)71.62% (-0.27500000000001 -0.28)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.48% (0.574 0.57)25.51% (-0.575 -0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.63% (0.779 0.78)60.36% (-0.779 -0.78)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.4% (-0.26000000000001 -0.26)26.6% (0.258 0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.17% (-0.343 -0.34)61.82% (0.342 0.34)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 38.03%
    Cambridge United 36.1%
    Draw 25.86%
Accrington StanleyDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 9.27% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.38% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.33% (0.128 0.13)
3-1 @ 3.82% (0.11 0.11)
3-0 @ 2.88% (0.105 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.53% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.3% (0.059 0.06)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 38.03%
1-1 @ 12.27% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.79% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.032 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.86%
0-1 @ 8.99% (-0.181 -0.18)
1-2 @ 8.13% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
0-2 @ 5.95% (-0.164 -0.16)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.63% (-0.092 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.45% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.18%
Total : 36.1%

How you voted: Accrington vs Cambridge

Accrington Stanley
50.0%
Draw
37.5%
Cambridge United
12.5%
8
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Cambridge
0-1
Accrington

Williams (65')
Rodgers (45+2')
Feb 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 34
Cambridge
2-0
Accrington
Smith (66'), Hoolahan (90+5')

Nottingham (90+3')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
gameweek 2
Accrington
2-1
Cambridge
Butcher (14'), Pell (30')
Pell (20'), Pritchard (34'), Rodgers (81')
Ironside (79')
Feb 24, 2018 3pm
Accrington
1-0
Cambridge
Jackson (57')
Hughes (39'), Johnson (90')

Ikpeazu (38'), Deegan (65'), O'Neil (76')
Nov 11, 2017 3pm
Cambridge
0-0
Accrington

Ikpeazu (90'), Halliday (90')

Kee (24'), Johnson (61'), Thorniley (69'), Conneely (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!