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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
44.1% ( -0.22) | 22.88% ( 0.07) | 33.02% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 64.73% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.78% ( -0.27) | 36.22% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.66% ( -0.3) | 58.34% ( 0.3) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.05% ( -0.19) | 16.95% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.96% ( -0.34) | 47.03% ( 0.34) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.94% ( -0.05) | 22.06% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.6% ( -0.07) | 55.4% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.3% Total : 44.1% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 33.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |