Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.64%) and 2-0 (5.89%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-2 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Notts County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
44.1% ( -0.22) | 22.88% ( 0.07) | 33.02% ( 0.15) |
Both teams to score 64.73% ( -0.19) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.78% ( -0.27) | 36.22% ( 0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.66% ( -0.3) | 58.34% ( 0.3) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.05% ( -0.19) | 16.95% ( 0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.96% ( -0.34) | 47.03% ( 0.34) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.94% ( -0.05) | 22.06% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.6% ( -0.07) | 55.4% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Notts County | Draw | AFC Wimbledon |
2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.89% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.98% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.3% Total : 44.1% | 1-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.74% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.88% | 1-2 @ 7.58% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.43% Total : 33.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |