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EFL Cup
AFC Wimbledon
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 9, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Gillingham

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 2
Gillingham


Assal (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mandron (90'), Green (90+2')
Ehmer (43'), Reeves (69'), Green (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between AFC Wimbledon and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

Last Six:
Last Game: Hartlepool 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

Gillingham

Last Six:
Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Rochdale
Saturday, August 6 at 3pm in League Two

We said: AFC Wimbledon 2-1 Gillingham

 Gillingham have failed to win any of their last four visits to the Cherry Red Records Stadium, losing three and managing one draw since a 4-2 win in March 2019. Wimbledon have enjoyed the better of this fixture and we are backing them to come away with a slender victory once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 40.3%. A win for Gillingham had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.8%). The likeliest Gillingham win was 0-1 (10.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
AFC WimbledonDrawGillingham
40.3% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 28.56%31.13% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 45.4% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.15%60.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.12% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)80.88% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)29.56% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)65.58% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (0.00099999999999056 0)35.54% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.69% (0.0040000000000013 0)72.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    AFC Wimbledon 40.3%
    Gillingham 31.12%
    Draw 28.55%
AFC WimbledonDrawGillingham
1-0 @ 12.8%
2-1 @ 8.07%
2-0 @ 7.8% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.17% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.7%
4-1 @ 1%
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 40.3%
1-1 @ 13.24%
0-0 @ 10.5%
2-2 @ 4.18%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.55%
0-1 @ 10.86%
1-2 @ 6.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.36%
0-3 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 31.12%

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Gillingham

AFC Wimbledon
57.1%
Draw
21.4%
Gillingham
21.4%
14
Head to Head
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Gillingham
Chislett (15'), Currie (71')
Nightingale (9'), Marsh (47'), Maghoma (63')

Ehmer (35'), Lee (47'), Reeves (57'), Wright (67'), Kashket (81')
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
Gillingham
0-0
AFC Wimbledon

Tucker (74'), Lee (83')

Mebude (90+4')
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Gillingham
Palmer (85')
Mebude (39'), Nightingale (73'), Palmer (87'), Assal (90+6')
Kalambayi (90+7' og.)
McKenzie (11'), Tutonda (55'), Tucker (67'), O'Keefe (90+2'), Oliver (90+7')
Tutonda (73')
Feb 23, 2021 6.30pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Gillingham
Rudoni (90')

O'Keefe (90+1')
Nov 24, 2020 6pm
Gillingham
2-1
AFC Wimbledon
Dempsey (3'), Samuel (57')
Heneghan (28')
rhs 2.0
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