Home > Football > League Two
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 56.73%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 21.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (5.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crawley Town |
56.73% ( 1.33) | 21.52% ( -0.14) | 21.75% ( -1.19) |
Both teams to score 59.41% ( -1.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.19% ( -0.85) | 38.81% ( 0.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.88% ( -0.9) | 61.12% ( 0.9) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.44% ( 0.12) | 13.55% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.36% ( 0.25) | 40.64% ( -0.25) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.73% ( -1.51) | 31.27% ( 1.51) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.38% ( -1.79) | 67.62% ( 1.79) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Crawley Town |
2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.37) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 6.56% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 1.31% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.53% Total : 56.73% | 1-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.2) 0-0 @ 4.24% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.24% Total : 21.52% | 1-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.23) 0-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.69% Total : 21.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 35 | 19 | 16 | 40 |
2 | Port Vale | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 36 |
3 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 34 |
4 | AFC Wimbledon | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 31 | 16 | 15 | 33 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 23 | 5 | 33 |
6 | Chesterfield | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 31 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 20 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 31 |
8 | MK Dons | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 30 |
9 | Gillingham | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 28 |
11 | Notts County | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 28 |
12 | Salford City | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 27 |
13 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 26 |
14 | Bromley | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 24 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 23 |
16 | BarrowBarrow | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 23 |
17 | Newport CountyNewport | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 28 | -7 | 23 |
18 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 22 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 21 |
21 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 26 | 34 | -8 | 19 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 16 |
23 | Morecambe | 20 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 36 | -17 | 14 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 19 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |