Barrow have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three leagues games, gaining five points from those fixtures, and we can envisage a similar scenario against Crawley on Saturday.
Both teams have punched above their weight so far this season, but with Telford likely to be extremely motivated against his former employers, we expect the hosts to keep their winning streak going.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.
0.58) 
-0.15) 
