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Barrow
Bradford City
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Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Crawley Town

Barrow
1 - 0
Crawley

Telford (46')
Acauah (58'), Proctor (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Campbell (18'), Maguire (47'), Wright (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 1-2 Barrow
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-0 Crawley Town

Barrow have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three leagues games, gaining five points from those fixtures, and we can envisage a similar scenario against Crawley on Saturday. Both teams have punched above their weight so far this season, but with Telford likely to be extremely motivated against his former employers, we expect the hosts to keep their winning streak going. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.

Result
BarrowDrawCrawley Town
44.55% (0.584 0.58) 25.84% (-0.151 -0.15) 29.61% (-0.427 -0.43)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.79% (0.422 0.42)51.21% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.95% (0.369 0.37)73.05% (-0.361 -0.36)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.46299999999999 0.46)22.92% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.672 0.67)56.68% (-0.665 -0.66)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)31.61% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-0.108 -0.11)68.01% (0.11500000000001 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 44.55%
    Crawley Town 29.61%
    Draw 25.84%
BarrowDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 44.55%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0049999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.61%

How you voted: Barrow vs Crawley

Barrow
64.7%
Draw
35.3%
Crawley Town
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Barrow
4-0
Crawley
Gordon (18', 47', 55' pen.), Garner (81')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-0
Barrow
Nadesan (6')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Crawley
1-0
Barrow
Appiah (57')

Kay (64'), Rooney (68'), Platt (86')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Barrow
0-1
Crawley

Banks (27'), Brough (66')
Tilley (56')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Barrow
3-2
Crawley
Davies (10'), Quigley (36' pen.), Taylor (90+6')
Beadling (90+2')
Francomb (31'), Powell (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2661372928131
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17Harrogate TownHarrogate2785142337-1429
18BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
19Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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