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Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 18
Nov 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Crawley Town

Barrow
1 - 0
Crawley

Telford (46')
Acauah (58'), Proctor (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Campbell (18'), Maguire (47'), Wright (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Crawley Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 1-2 Barrow
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 1-0 Crawley Town

Barrow have kept a clean sheet in each of their last three leagues games, gaining five points from those fixtures, and we can envisage a similar scenario against Crawley on Saturday. Both teams have punched above their weight so far this season, but with Telford likely to be extremely motivated against his former employers, we expect the hosts to keep their winning streak going. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 44.55%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.86%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 0-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.

Result
BarrowDrawCrawley Town
44.55% (0.584 0.58) 25.84% (-0.151 -0.15) 29.61% (-0.427 -0.43)
Both teams to score 52.72% (0.242 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.79% (0.422 0.42)51.21% (-0.416 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.95% (0.369 0.37)73.05% (-0.361 -0.36)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.09% (0.46299999999999 0.46)22.92% (-0.456 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.32% (0.672 0.67)56.68% (-0.665 -0.66)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4% (-0.090999999999994 -0.09)31.61% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99% (-0.108 -0.11)68.01% (0.11500000000001 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 44.55%
    Crawley Town 29.61%
    Draw 25.84%
BarrowDrawCrawley Town
1-0 @ 10.67% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.05% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.86% (0.081 0.08)
3-1 @ 4.45% (0.093 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.091 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.047 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.056 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.052 0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 44.55%
1-1 @ 12.29% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 7.24% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.22% (0.026 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 8.34% (-0.162 -0.16)
1-2 @ 7.08% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.81% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.72% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2% (0.0049999999999997 0)
0-3 @ 1.85% (-0.046 -0.05)
Other @ 2.82%
Total : 29.61%

How you voted: Barrow vs Crawley

Barrow
64.7%
Draw
35.3%
Crawley Town
0.0%
17
Head to Head
Apr 10, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 41
Barrow
4-0
Crawley
Gordon (18', 47', 55' pen.), Garner (81')
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 18
Crawley
1-0
Barrow
Nadesan (6')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 41
Crawley
1-0
Barrow
Appiah (57')

Kay (64'), Rooney (68'), Platt (86')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 17
Barrow
0-1
Crawley

Banks (27'), Brough (66')
Tilley (56')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Barrow
3-2
Crawley
Davies (10'), Quigley (36' pen.), Taylor (90+6')
Beadling (90+2')
Francomb (31'), Powell (84')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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