We said: Barrow 1-1 Morecambe
Morecambe's recent form has been excellent, but Barrow are unbeaten at home in the league this season, with four of their six games finishing level, and we can see the points being shared on Tuesday, which would not be the worst result in the world for either side.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.67%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 0-1 (9.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barrow in this match.