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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 27.28% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.91%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
50.76% ( 0.2) | 21.96% ( -0.06) | 27.28% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 64.4% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.89% ( 0.17) | 35.1% ( -0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.89% ( 0.19) | 57.1% ( -0.2) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.84% ( 0.13) | 14.16% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.16% ( 0.25) | 41.84% ( -0.25) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.03% ( -0.01) | 24.97% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.38% ( -0.01) | 59.62% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Accrington Stanley |
2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.91% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.65% Total : 50.76% | 1-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.37% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.08% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.01% 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.54% Total : 27.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |