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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
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Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Bradford City
League Two | Gameweek 28
Mar 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Utilita Energy Stadium
Carlisle United

Bradford
0 - 0
Carlisle


Oliver (79'), Oliver (79+79')
FT

Moxon (37'), Barclay (56'), Armer (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Bradford City and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bradford 2-2 Hartlepool
Saturday, March 18 at 1pm in League Two
Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Stevenage
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bradford City 1-1 Carlisle United

With both teams competing at the top end of the League Two table, it is very difficult to separate them, so we are expecting a score draw on Tuesday night. Bradford have made a habit out of drawing games in recent times, and that record is likely to continue in a match involving two very evenly-matches sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 33.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
39.78% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03) 26.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 33.23% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 50.57% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.37% (0.010999999999996 0.01)54.63% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)75.96% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (-0.012 -0.01)26.88% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.81% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)62.19% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.16% (0.028000000000006 0.03)30.83% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.88% (0.031000000000006 0.03)67.11% (-0.032000000000011 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 39.77%
    Carlisle United 33.23%
    Draw 26.99%
Bradford CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.42% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.13% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 39.77%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.29% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 4.95% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.99%
0-1 @ 9.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 5.74% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.004 0)
0-3 @ 2.25% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.23%

How you voted: Bradford vs Carlisle

Bradford City
50.0%
Draw
32.4%
Carlisle United
17.6%
74
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 3pm
Bradford
2-0
Carlisle
Angol (13'), Walker (69')
Cooke (79')

Whelan (56'), Armer (67'), Dickenson (80'), Omotoye (86')
Jan 8, 2022 3pm
Carlisle
2-0
Bradford
Gibson (45'), Patrick (87')

Songo'o (64'), Angol (90+1'), Watt (90+4')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Carlisle
3-1
Bradford
Bennett (37'), Zanzala (39', 56')
Zanzala (74'), Farman (79'), Alessandra (80'), Patrick (90')
O'Connor (64')
Watt (34'), Sutton (69'), O'Connor (73'), Rowe (90+5')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914


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