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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 49.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.12%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
49.85% ( -0.09) | 25.55% ( -0) | 24.6% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 49.79% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.81% ( 0.08) | 53.19% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.24% ( 0.07) | 74.76% ( -0.07) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.64% ( -0) | 21.36% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.67% ( -0) | 54.33% ( -0) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.32% ( 0.12) | 36.68% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.53% ( 0.12) | 73.47% ( -0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.36% 2-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.82% 3-0 @ 4.8% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.86% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.85% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 49.84% | 1-1 @ 12.12% 0-0 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 7.86% 1-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.8% Total : 24.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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