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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
58.18% ( 0.04) | 22.44% ( -0.02) | 19.38% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.47% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.78% ( 0.04) | 46.22% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.49% ( 0.04) | 68.51% ( -0.03) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.42% ( 0.03) | 15.58% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.45% ( 0.05) | 44.55% ( -0.05) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.16% ( -0) | 37.84% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.39% ( -0) | 74.61% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 58.16% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.81% 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 19.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 46 |
2 | Port Vale | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 35 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 34 |
6 | Chesterfield | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 34 |
7 | Notts County | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 22 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
9 | Salford City | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 33 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 31 |
11 | MK Dons | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
12 | Bromley | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
13 | Gillingham | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 26 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 26 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 20 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Morecambe | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 17 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 15 |
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