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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 58.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 19.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Mansfield Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
58.18% ( 0.04) | 22.44% ( -0.02) | 19.38% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 52.47% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.78% ( 0.04) | 46.22% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.49% ( 0.04) | 68.51% ( -0.03) |
Mansfield Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.42% ( 0.03) | 15.58% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.45% ( 0.05) | 44.55% ( -0.05) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.16% ( -0) | 37.84% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.39% ( -0) | 74.61% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Mansfield Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 10.96% 2-0 @ 10.18% 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.09% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 58.16% | 1-1 @ 10.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.81% 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.44% | 0-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) 0-3 @ 0.9% ( -0) Other @ 1.55% Total : 19.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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