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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Grimsby Town

Crawley
1 - 1
Grimsby Town

Telford (87' pen.)
Oteh (19'), Lynch (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clifton (42')
Khan (33'), Crocombe (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Grimsby Town

 Both teams are undefeated in their last four League Two games, and so it is too difficult to pick a winner, with the most likely result being a draw. Crawley are a much-improved since they last took on Grimsby, losing 3-0 at Blundell Park back at the beginning of October, and a victory could do them the world of good in their bid to avoid relegation, potentially able to move seven points clear of the bottom two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
45.66% (0.087999999999994 0.09) 26.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.47% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.73% (0.023999999999994 0.02)56.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.69% (0.02 0.02)77.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (0.052999999999997 0.05)24.58% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (0.074999999999996 0.07)59.07% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)35.92% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)72.7% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 45.65%
    Grimsby Town 27.47%
    Draw 26.86%
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 12.38%
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.65%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 27.47%

How you voted: Crawley vs Grimsby Town

Crawley Town
45.7%
Draw
17.1%
Grimsby Town
37.1%
35
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Grimsby Town
3-0
Crawley
Glennon (4'), Holohan (52'), Taylor (85')

Lynch (3')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Grimsby Town
2-1
Crawley
Morais (21'), Adams (79')
Bunney (69'), Adams (70'), Hewitt (85'), (88'), Bunney (90+3')
Bunney (90+3')
Powell (30')
Wright (32'), Hessenthaler (90')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Crawley
1-2
Grimsby Town
Watters (4')
Powell (78'), Watters (80')
Green (35'), Wright (51')
Hewitt (80')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Crawley
3-2
Grimsby Town
Palmer (16', 69'), Nadesan (77')
Nadesan (58'), Doherty (85')
Whitehouse (21'), Hanson (32')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Crawley
Hessenthaler (2')
Gibson (25'), Hendrie (59'), Clifton (62')
Nadesan (37')
Lubala (43'), McNerney (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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