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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Grimsby Town

Crawley
1 - 1
Grimsby Town

Telford (87' pen.)
Oteh (19'), Lynch (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Clifton (42')
Khan (33'), Crocombe (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Rochdale
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Walsall
Saturday, March 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 1-1 Grimsby Town

 Both teams are undefeated in their last four League Two games, and so it is too difficult to pick a winner, with the most likely result being a draw. Crawley are a much-improved since they last took on Grimsby, losing 3-0 at Blundell Park back at the beginning of October, and a victory could do them the world of good in their bid to avoid relegation, potentially able to move seven points clear of the bottom two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 45.66%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
45.66% (0.087999999999994 0.09) 26.87% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 27.47% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Both teams to score 48.33% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.73% (0.023999999999994 0.02)56.26% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.69% (0.02 0.02)77.3% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (0.052999999999997 0.05)24.58% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (0.074999999999996 0.07)59.07% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.08% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)35.92% (0.043999999999997 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.3% (-0.046000000000003 -0.05)72.7% (0.044999999999987 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 45.65%
    Grimsby Town 27.47%
    Draw 26.86%
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 12.38%
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.69% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.07% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.46% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 45.65%
1-1 @ 12.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.83% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 9.04% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.22% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.56% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 27.47%

How you voted: Crawley vs Grimsby Town

Crawley Town
45.7%
Draw
17.1%
Grimsby Town
37.1%
35
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Grimsby Town
3-0
Crawley
Glennon (4'), Holohan (52'), Taylor (85')

Lynch (3')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Grimsby Town
2-1
Crawley
Morais (21'), Adams (79')
Bunney (69'), Adams (70'), Hewitt (85'), (88'), Bunney (90+3')
Bunney (90+3')
Powell (30')
Wright (32'), Hessenthaler (90')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Crawley
1-2
Grimsby Town
Watters (4')
Powell (78'), Watters (80')
Green (35'), Wright (51')
Hewitt (80')
Jan 25, 2020 3pm
Crawley
3-2
Grimsby Town
Palmer (16', 69'), Nadesan (77')
Nadesan (58'), Doherty (85')
Whitehouse (21'), Hanson (32')
Dec 29, 2019 3pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Crawley
Hessenthaler (2')
Gibson (25'), Hendrie (59'), Clifton (62')
Nadesan (37')
Lubala (43'), McNerney (93')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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