Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 36.01%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.