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Championship header 2

League Two
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 21
Jan 31, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Barrow

Carlisle
5 - 1
Barrow

Mellish (44', 67'), Garner (50'), Patrick (72'), Dennis (89' pen.)
Mellish (76'), Gibson (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Barclay (84' og.)
Ray (34'), Gotts (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last Game: Rochdale 0-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
Last Game: Barrow 0-2 Northampton
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Barrow

 A cagey affair could be in store between two sides separated by just one point in the standings, and neither crop of players have covered themselves in glory recently. Barrow should give themselves a fighting chance of avoiding yet another defeat on the road if they can cut out the individual errors, but Carlisle may have to accept another point on their own territory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 46.24%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 26.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (9.26%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBarrow
46.24% (1.06 1.06) 27.27% (-0.397 -0.4) 26.49% (-0.667 -0.67)
Both teams to score 46.51% (0.611 0.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.74% (1.014 1.01)58.26% (-1.016 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.11% (0.788 0.79)78.89% (-0.79000000000001 -0.79)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.81% (0.989 0.99)25.19% (-0.991 -0.99)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.08% (1.346 1.35)59.92% (-1.349 -1.35)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.4% (-0.004999999999999 -0)74.6% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 46.23%
    Barrow 26.49%
    Draw 27.27%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 13.13% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.06% (0.164 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.8% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 4.16% (0.19 0.19)
3-1 @ 4.05% (0.184 0.18)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.089 0.09)
4-0 @ 1.44% (0.104 0.1)
4-1 @ 1.4% (0.101 0.1)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 46.23%
1-1 @ 12.77% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 9.53% (-0.375 -0.38)
2-2 @ 4.28% (0.077 0.08)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 27.27%
0-1 @ 9.26% (-0.364 -0.36)
1-2 @ 6.21% (-0.064 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.5% (-0.177 -0.18)
1-3 @ 2.01% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.025 0.02)
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 26.49%

How you voted: Carlisle vs Barrow

Carlisle United
73.2%
Draw
7.3%
Barrow
19.5%
41
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7pm
Barrow
2-0
Carlisle
Kay (69'), Foley (80')
Neal (45+1')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Barrow
1-2
Carlisle
Banks (78')
Farman (65'), Rooney (90')
Gibson (32'), Dennis (75')
Mellish (47'), Dennis (76'), Dickenson (81')
Nov 13, 2021 1pm
Carlisle
0-0
Barrow

Guy (90+5')

Gordon (51'), Stevens (90+5'), Brough (90+5')
Apr 10, 2021 3pm
Barrow
2-2
Carlisle
Quigley (19'), Brough (24')
Eardley (25'), Quigley (73')
Armer (3'), Zanzala (79' pen.)
Armer (30'), Tanner (52'), Mellish (66')
Oct 3, 2020 3pm
Carlisle
1-0
Barrow
Mellish (24')
Mellish (10'), Anderton (70'), Guy (90+1')
Hayden (55')

Quigley (75'), Brough (80'), Hardcastle (90+4'), Kay (90+7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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