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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 40.01%. A win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 33.17% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Carlisle United |
33.17% | 26.81% | 40.01% |
Both teams to score 51.09% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.04% | 53.96% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.59% | 75.4% |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.46% | 30.54% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.23% | 66.76% |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.56% | 26.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.38% | 61.61% |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 9.58% 2-1 @ 7.56% 2-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 2.99% 3-0 @ 2.25% 3-2 @ 1.99% Other @ 3.13% Total : 33.17% | 1-1 @ 12.74% 0-0 @ 8.07% 2-2 @ 5.03% Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.81% | 0-1 @ 10.74% 1-2 @ 8.48% 0-2 @ 7.15% 1-3 @ 3.76% 0-3 @ 3.17% 2-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.19% Total : 40.01% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |