League Two
May 28, 2023 at 1.30pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Carlisle1 - 1Stockport
The Match
Match Report
Carlisle United are promoted to League One courtesy of a penalty-shootout win over Stockport County in the playoff final.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Carlisle 3-1 Bradford
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Stockport 2-1 Salford City (3-1 pen.)
Saturday, May 20 at 12.30pm in League Two
Saturday, May 20 at 12.30pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%).
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Stockport County |
35.54% ( 0.04) | 27.76% ( -0.01) | 36.7% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.52% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.64% ( 0.04) | 57.36% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.82% ( 0.03) | 78.18% ( -0.03) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.29% ( 0.05) | 30.71% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.04% ( 0.06) | 66.96% ( -0.05) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.02% ( 0) | 29.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 33.9% ( 0) | 66.1% |
| Score Analysis |
Carlisle United 35.54%
Stockport County 36.7%
Draw 27.76%
| Carlisle United | Draw | Stockport County |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0)Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.54% | 1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.76% | 0-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.7% |
How you voted: Carlisle vs Stockport
Carlisle United
28.1%Draw
35.9%Stockport County
35.9%64
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2023 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 21, 2009 3pm
Form Guide
