League Two

May 28, 2023 at 1.30pm UK

Wembley Stadium

Carlisle
1 - 1
Stockport

Patrick (84')
Mellish (24'), Charters (90+2')

FT
(aet)

Mellish (34' og.)
Collar (105+2')

Carlisle win 5-4 on penalties

The Match

Match Report

Carlisle United are promoted to League One courtesy of a penalty-shootout win over Stockport County in the playoff final.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Stockport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 3-1 Bradford
Saturday, May 20 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stockport County

All competitions

Last Game: Stockport 2-1 Salford City (3-1 pen.)
Saturday, May 20 at 12.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 36.7%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (10.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.09%).

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Stockport County
35.54% ( 0.04)	27.76% ( -0.01)	36.7% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 48.52% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.64% (

0.04)

57.36% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.82% (

0.03)

78.18% (

-0.03)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.29% (

0.05)

30.71% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.04% (

0.06)

66.96% (

-0.05)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.02% (

29.98% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.9% (

66.1%

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 35.54%

Stockport County 36.7%

Draw 27.76%

Carlisle United	Draw	Stockport County
1-0 @ 10.87% 2-1 @ 7.73% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.42% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.04% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 3.12% Total : 35.54%	1-1 @ 13.09% 0-0 @ 9.21% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.76%	0-1 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.87% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 36.7%