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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 43.97%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.18%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bradford City in this match.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Bradford City |
31.95% ( -0.07) | 24.08% ( -0.01) | 43.97% ( 0.09) |
Both teams to score 59.85% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.57% ( 0.04) | 42.42% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.17% ( 0.04) | 64.83% ( -0.03) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.35% ( -0.02) | 25.65% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.45% ( -0.03) | 60.54% ( 0.04) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.49% ( 0.06) | 19.5% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.62% ( 0.09) | 51.38% ( -0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Bradford City |
2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.48% Total : 31.95% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.07% | 1-2 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.95% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 43.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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