Crewe

0 - 5

Chesterfield

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 55.46%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 22.28% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.17%) and 0-2 (8.74%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 (5.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.