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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crewe Alexandra
League Two | Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
Notts County

Crewe
2 - 0
Notts County

Tracey (40'), Cooney (62' pen.)
Holicek (57'), Cooney (64'), Williams (67'), Marshall (71'), Sanders (75'), Tracey (80')
Long (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bedeau (3'), Maynard (4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crewe Alexandra and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Walsall 1-1 Crewe
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 1-2 Notts County

Nott County have proven to be resilient away from home in recent games, and it is difficult to see how they lose on Saturday. Additionally, while Crewe have the same defensive record as their opponents, their inferior offensive record may make them slight underdogs this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 44.05%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
44.05% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 24.23% (0.0019999999999989 0) 31.72% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 59.19% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)43.25% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)65.65% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.19% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)19.81% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)51.87% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.8% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)26.19% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.71% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)61.29% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 44.05%
    Notts County 31.72%
    Draw 24.23%
Crewe AlexandraDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 3.67% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.29%
4-1 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.33% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 44.05%
1-1 @ 11.25%
2-2 @ 6.1% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 5.19%
3-3 @ 1.47%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.23%
1-2 @ 7.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.66% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.08% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.13%
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 31.72%

How you voted: Crewe vs Notts County

Crewe Alexandra
35.3%
Draw
28.2%
Notts County
36.5%
85
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 35
Notts County
1-3
Crewe
O'Brien (83')
Ashby-Hammond (18'), Bostock (53'), Langstaff (81'), Jatta (90')
Demetriou (5'), Nevitt (19' pen.), Austerfield (77')
Kirk (27'), Demetriou (53'), Turns (81'), Adebisi (88')
Nov 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crewe
1-0
Notts County
Baker-Richardson (90+8' pen.)
Offord (14'), Cooney (90+1')

Cameron (45+1'), Baldwin (50'), O'Brien (70'), Jones (88'), Randall (89')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 42
Crewe
3-0
Notts County
Taylor-Sinclair (31'), Wintle (77'), Jones (83')

Hemmings (43'), O'Brien (85')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 10
Notts County
2-1
Crewe
Milsom (5'), Hewitt (61')
Milsom (33')
Bowery (14')
Feb 3, 2018 3pm
Notts County
4-1
Crewe
Husin (15'), Hewitt (41', 60'), Bennett (89')
Husin (65')
Miller (8')
Nolan (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2661372928131
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Swindon TownSwindon28710113542-731
17Gillingham2493122225-330
18Harrogate TownHarrogate2785142337-1429
19BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
20Newport CountyNewport2575133345-1226
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018


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