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Chesterfield
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Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Technique Stadium
Notts County

Chesterfield
2 - 2
Notts County

Madden (6'), Grigg (74')
Metcalfe (64'), Banks (90'), Naylor (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Jatta (14'), McGoldrick (90+4')
Palmer (55'), Macarai (64'), Crowley (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Chesterfield and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Chesterfield 1-1 Notts County

Considering Chesterfield have drawn four of their six matches at home this season, it is difficult to see them losing on Saturday. However, the hosts are yet to keep a clean sheet at SMH Group Stadium, and Notts County will no doubt get chances of their own in front of goal. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 50.49%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.8%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
50.49% (-0.691 -0.69) 22.6% (0.175 0.18) 26.9% (0.514 0.51)
Both teams to score 61.69% (-0.144 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.47% (-0.399 -0.4)38.52% (0.398 0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.18% (-0.425 -0.42)60.82% (0.422 0.42)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.52% (-0.38200000000001 -0.38)15.48% (0.379 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.64% (-0.714 -0.71)44.36% (0.713 0.71)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.99% (0.15700000000001 0.16)27.01% (-0.159 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.63% (0.209 0.21)62.36% (-0.21 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 50.49%
    Notts County 26.9%
    Draw 22.6%
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.029000000000002 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.8% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.28% (-0.055000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 5.92% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-0 @ 4.53% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.046 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.11% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.81% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-1 @ 1.03% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 3.86%
Total : 50.49%
1-1 @ 10.21% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.18% (0.078 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.6%
1-2 @ 6.68% (0.098 0.1)
0-1 @ 5.47% (0.127 0.13)
0-2 @ 3.58% (0.099 0.1)
1-3 @ 2.92% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.72% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.05 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.9%

How you voted: Chesterfield vs Notts County

Chesterfield
47.2%
Draw
25.0%
Notts County
27.8%
36
Head to Head
May 13, 2023 3.30pm
Chesterfield
2-2
Notts County
(Aggregate 2-2 | Notts County win 4-3 on penalties)
Dallas (6' pen.), Dobra (93')
Oldaker (57'), King (102'), Grimes (114')
Bostock (88'), Rodrigues (108')
Bostock (38'), Jones (96'), Mair (123')
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
Aug 20, 2022 5.20pm
Gameweek 4
Notts County
2-2
Chesterfield
Langstaff (60', 63')
O'Brien (37'), Rodrigues (64')
Mandeville (16'), Asante (55')
King (81'), (90+6')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Notts County
1-1
Chesterfield
Wootton (45+2' pen.)
Vincent (39'), Kelly-Evans (64'), Rawlinson (84')
Whittle (13')
King (55'), Weston (58'), Quigley (84')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Chesterfield
3-1
Notts County
Maguire (60', 86'), Asante (90' pen.)
Whittle (7'), Kellerman (41'), Khan (89'), Miller (90+4')
Sam (40')
Cameron (62')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Bengals
34-35
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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