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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Chesterfield
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Esh Group Stadium
Notts County

Chesterfield
vs.
Notts County

Coverage of the League Two clash between Chesterfield and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chesterfield 2-2 Walsall
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, October 5 at 3pm in League Two
Next Game: Notts County vs. Northampton
Tuesday, October 8 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Notts County has a probability of 26.22% and a draw has a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Notts County win is 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.88%).

Result
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
51.63% (-2.148 -2.15) 22.15% (0.22 0.22) 26.22% (1.929 1.93)
Both teams to score 62.68% (1.327 1.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.05% (0.828 0.83)36.94% (-0.826 -0.83)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.87% (0.89 0.89)59.13% (-0.891 -0.89)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.46% (-0.407 -0.41)14.53% (0.405 0.4)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.44% (-0.79 -0.79)42.56% (0.79 0.79)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (1.891 1.89)26.66% (-1.89 -1.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (2.435 2.44)61.91% (-2.434 -2.43)
Score Analysis
    Chesterfield 51.63%
    Notts County 26.22%
    Draw 22.15%
ChesterfieldDrawNotts County
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.155 -0.15)
1-0 @ 7.47% (-0.42 -0.42)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.518 -0.52)
3-1 @ 6.13% (-0.191 -0.19)
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.406 -0.41)
3-2 @ 4.05% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.95% (-0.137 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.231 -0.23)
4-2 @ 1.95% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.14% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 51.63%
1-1 @ 9.88% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.3% (0.229 0.23)
0-0 @ 3.88% (-0.158 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.78% (0.13 0.13)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 22.15%
1-2 @ 6.53% (0.329 0.33)
0-1 @ 5.12% (0.067 0.07)
0-2 @ 3.39% (0.217 0.22)
1-3 @ 2.88% (0.287 0.29)
2-3 @ 2.78% (0.24 0.24)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.168 0.17)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.139 0.14)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.123 0.12)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 26.22%

Head to Head
May 13, 2023 3.30pm
Chesterfield
2-2
Notts County
(Aggregate 2-2 | Notts County win 4-3 on penalties)
Dallas (6' pen.), Dobra (93')
Oldaker (57'), King (102'), Grimes (114')
Bostock (88'), Rodrigues (108')
Bostock (38'), Jones (96'), Mair (123')
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
Aug 20, 2022 5.20pm
Gameweek 4
Notts County
2-2
Chesterfield
Langstaff (60', 63')
O'Brien (37'), Rodrigues (64')
Mandeville (16'), Asante (55')
King (81'), (90+6')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Notts County
1-1
Chesterfield
Wootton (45+2' pen.)
Vincent (39'), Kelly-Evans (64'), Rawlinson (84')
Whittle (13')
King (55'), Weston (58'), Quigley (84')
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Chesterfield
3-1
Notts County
Maguire (60', 86'), Asante (90' pen.)
Whittle (7'), Kellerman (41'), Khan (89'), Miller (90+4')
Sam (40')
Cameron (62')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall106131912719
2Gillingham10613125719
3BarrowBarrow10613137619
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster106131512319
5Notts County10532179818
6Port Vale105321512318
7Fleetwood TownFleetwood9441169716
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe9513109116
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Grimsby Town105051317-415
11Chesterfield103521710714
12AFC Wimbledon741295413
13MK Dons103341312112
14Bradford CityBradford93331110112
15Salford City933369-312
16Colchester UnitedColchester102531315-211
17Tranmere RoversTranmere925259-411
18Harrogate TownHarrogate10325916-711
19Bromley102441214-210
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham103161216-410
21Swindon TownSwindon10154913-48
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle102171019-97
23Accrington StanleyAccrington91351119-86
24Morecambe10046814-64


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