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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Chesterfield win with a probability of 51.63%. A win for Notts County has a probability of 26.22% and a draw has a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Notts County win is 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.88%).
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
51.63% ( -2.15) | 22.15% ( 0.22) | 26.22% ( 1.93) |
Both teams to score 62.68% ( 1.33) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.05% ( 0.83) | 36.94% ( -0.83) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.87% ( 0.89) | 59.13% ( -0.89) |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.46% ( -0.41) | 14.53% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.44% ( -0.79) | 42.56% ( 0.79) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.33% ( 1.89) | 26.66% ( -1.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.09% ( 2.44) | 61.91% ( -2.43) |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.15) 1-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.42) 2-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.52) 3-1 @ 6.13% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( -0.41) 3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.95% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.24% ( -0.23) 4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.07) Other @ 4.33% Total : 51.63% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.16) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.13) Other @ 0.32% Total : 22.15% | 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.33) 0-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.29) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.17) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0.14) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.12) Other @ 2.17% Total : 26.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 19 |
2 | Gillingham | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 19 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 19 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 19 |
5 | Notts County | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 18 |
6 | Port Vale | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 18 |
7 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 16 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 15 |
11 | Chesterfield | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 14 |
12 | AFC Wimbledon | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 13 |
13 | MK Dons | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 12 |
14 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
15 | Salford City | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 12 |
16 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 11 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 11 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 11 |
19 | Bromley | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 10 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 8 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 7 |
23 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 6 |
24 | Morecambe | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 4 |
> League Two Full Table |