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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Doncaster Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Keepmoat Stadium
Grimsby Town

Doncaster
1 - 2
Grimsby Town

Barlow (26')
Mitchell (77')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Maher (85'), Lloyd (90+6')
Waterfall (13'), Smith (28'), Taylor (45+3'), Glennon (79'), Clifton (81'), Green (90+1')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Doncaster Rovers and Grimsby Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Doncaster
Friday, April 7 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Doncaster RoversDrawGrimsby Town
35.69% (0.357 0.36) 28.13% (0.044 0.04) 36.18% (-0.395 -0.39)
Both teams to score 47.41% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.27% (-0.14 -0.14)58.74% (0.147 0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.74% (-0.109 -0.11)79.27% (0.116 0.12)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.7% (0.16 0.16)31.31% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.34% (0.183 0.18)67.66% (-0.176 -0.18)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.01% (-0.31699999999999 -0.32)30.99% (0.322 0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.7% (-0.373 -0.37)67.3% (0.38 0.38)
Score Analysis
    Doncaster Rovers 35.68%
    Grimsby Town 36.18%
    Draw 28.13%
Doncaster RoversDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 11.26% (0.11 0.11)
2-1 @ 7.67% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.54% (0.091 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.97% (0.028 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.53% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.74% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 35.68%
1-1 @ 13.2% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 9.7% (0.053000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 28.13%
0-1 @ 11.36% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 6.66% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 3.02% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.6% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 36.18%

Head to Head
Nov 12, 2022 3pm
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Grimsby Town
1-0
Doncaster
Cook (40')

Taylor (78')
Oct 9, 2018 7.30pm
Doncaster
2-0
Grimsby Town
May (23', 57' pen.)
Anderson (31'), Anderson (90')

Pringle (89')
Aug 29, 2017 7.45pm
Grimsby Town
1-1
Doncaster
Doncaster win 4-3 on penalties
Cardwell (29')
Jones (20'), Davies (69')
Williams (38')
Mandeville (86')
Apr 1, 2017 1pm
Grimsby Town
1-5
Doncaster
Jones (34')
Clements (6'), Dyson (22'), Mills (65')
Marquis (37', 43', 61'), Williams (78'), May (88')
Williams (49')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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Lions
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham86111221019
2Walsall86021541118
3BarrowBarrow8512115616
4Notts County8431158715
5Port Vale84221311214
6AFC Wimbledon641194513
7Doncaster RoversDoncaster84131112-113
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
9Chesterfield8332136712
10Fleetwood TownFleetwood7331107312
11Grimsby Town84041214-212
12Newport CountyNewport84041216-412
13Bradford CityBradford8323109111
14Harrogate TownHarrogate8314811-310
15Colchester UnitedColchester82331214-29
16Salford City723246-29
17Tranmere RoversTranmere723237-49
18Bromley82241012-28
19MK Dons8224710-38
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham8215913-47
21Swindon TownSwindon8134812-46
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle82061017-76
23Morecambe8035611-53
24Accrington StanleyAccrington7034816-83


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