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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 36.18%. A win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Doncaster Rovers win was 1-0 (11.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Grimsby Town |
35.69% ( 0.36) | 28.13% ( 0.04) | 36.18% ( -0.39) |
Both teams to score 47.41% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.27% ( -0.14) | 58.74% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.74% ( -0.11) | 79.27% ( 0.12) |
Doncaster Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.7% ( 0.16) | 31.31% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.34% ( 0.18) | 67.66% ( -0.18) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.01% ( -0.32) | 30.99% ( 0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.7% ( -0.37) | 67.3% ( 0.38) |
Score Analysis |
Doncaster Rovers | Draw | Grimsby Town |
1-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.97% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 35.68% | 1-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.7% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.74% Total : 28.13% | 0-1 @ 11.36% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 6.66% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.06% Total : 36.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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