League Two

League Two | Gameweek 30

Apr 27, 2021 at 7pm UK

St. James' Park

Exeter
3 - 2
Grimsby Town

Waterfall (33' og.), Fisher (83'), Bowman (89')
Collins (79')

FT(HT: 1-1)

John-Lewis (41' pen.), Matete (58')
Menayese (90+7')
Matete (61')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Exeter City and Grimsby Town.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 55.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 18.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.77%), while for a Grimsby Town win it was 0-1 (7.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Grimsby Town
55.63%	25.66%	18.7%

Both teams to score 42.26%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.74%

59.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.33%

79.67%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.59%

21.41%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.59%

54.4%

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

53.77%

46.22%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.1%

81.89%

Score Analysis

Exeter City 55.62%

Grimsby Town 18.7%

Draw 25.66%

Exeter City	Draw	Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 15.25% 2-0 @ 11.75% 2-1 @ 9.07% 3-0 @ 6.04% 3-1 @ 4.66% 4-0 @ 2.33% 3-2 @ 1.8% 4-1 @ 1.8% Other @ 2.93% Total : 55.62%	1-1 @ 11.77% 0-0 @ 9.9% 2-2 @ 3.5% Other @ 0.5% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 7.64% 1-2 @ 4.54% 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 2.41% Total : 18.7%