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Exeter City
League Two | Gameweek 20
Dec 7, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
St James Park
Northampton Town

Exeter
1 - 2
Northampton

Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Exeter City and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Northampton Town

Based on the unpredictable runs of form and consistency endured by both sides this season so far, it is difficult to predict which way this encounter will be going on Tuesday. For this reason, and due to the similar levels of quality possessed by both teams, we believe this big clash in League Two will end in a draw, with tight periods played out throughout the contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 48.34%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 0-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
48.34%26.76%24.9%
Both teams to score 46.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.56%57.44%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.75%78.25%
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.17%23.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42%58%
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.24%38.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.5%75.5%
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 48.33%
    Northampton Town 24.9%
    Draw 26.76%
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 13.24%
2-0 @ 9.5%
2-1 @ 9%
3-0 @ 4.54%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-2 @ 2.04%
4-0 @ 1.63%
4-1 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 48.33%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 9.24%
2-2 @ 4.27%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 8.75%
1-2 @ 5.95%
0-2 @ 4.15%
1-3 @ 1.88%
2-3 @ 1.35%
0-3 @ 1.31%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 24.9%

How you voted: Exeter vs Northampton

Exeter City
69.2%
Draw
15.4%
Northampton Town
15.4%
13
Head to Head
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Atangana (51')
Rose (22'), Ashley-Seal (82')
Rose (40'), Smith (51'), McWilliams (86'), Horsfall (90+2')
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Northampton
2-0
Exeter
Oliver (1'), Hoskins (81' pen.)
Adams (90')

Sweeney (80')
Dec 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
3-2
Northampton
Williams (38'), Martin (64'), Fisher (66')
Bowman (30'), Fisher (39')
Goode (33'), Hoskins (79')
Wharton (42')
Mar 9, 2019 2pm
Gameweek 36
Northampton
2-1
Exeter
Pierre (32'), Williams (56')
Taylor (60'), Foley (95')
Martin (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8AFC Wimbledon1472523131023
9Bradford CityBradford166552117423
10Gillingham157261612423
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
17Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
18Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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