FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Edgar Street Athletic Ground
Hereford0 - 2Gillingham
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Hereford United and Gillingham.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Chorley 1-2 Hereford
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League North
Goals
for
for
14
Last Game: Gillingham 0-2 Newport
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League Two
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Hereford United had a probability of 34.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Hereford United win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hereford United | Draw | Gillingham |
| 34.8% | 27.09% | 38.11% |
| Both teams to score 50.55% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
