MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 00:34:50| >> :600:98415:98415:
Peterborough United
FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Salford City

Peterborough
2 - 2
Salford City

Jade-Jones (47'), Fernandez (90+3')
Katongo (7')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mallan (5'), Sturge (69' og.)
Garbutt (36'), N'Mai (81'), (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Peterborough United and Salford City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 3-1 Spurs U21s
Tuesday, October 31 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Salford City 4-3 Man Utd U21s
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy

We said: Peterborough United 2-0 Salford City

Peterborough are one of the most in-form teams in League One this season and are already being tipped to secure promotion back to the Championship this season. The Posh have also won four of their last five at home, and against lower-division opponents here, we are backing the hosts to claim another scalp in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 58.06%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 21.38% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.89%) and 1-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Salford City win was 1-2 (5.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawSalford City
58.06% (0.055 0.05) 20.56%21.38% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)
Both teams to score 62.35% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.27% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)34.73% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.31% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)56.69% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.15% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)11.85% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.87% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)37.13% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Salford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)29.27% (0.089000000000002 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (-0.108 -0.11)65.23% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 58.06%
    Salford City 21.38%
    Draw 20.56%
Peterborough UnitedDrawSalford City
2-1 @ 9.69% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.89% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.4% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 6.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.23% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.67%
4-0 @ 2.99% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
4-3 @ 0.92% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.7%
Total : 58.06%
1-1 @ 9.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.95% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.47% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.73% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 20.56%
1-2 @ 5.58% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.29% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.07% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 21.38%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Salford City

Peterborough United
90.0%
Draw
0.0%
Salford City
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Nov 16, 2022 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Salford City
0-3
Peterborough
Mason-Clark (39'), Marriott (78', 83')
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
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8Aston Villa2912984145-445
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