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Championship header 2

League Two
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
CNG Stadium
Hartlepool United

Harrogate
2 - 1
Hartlepool

Pattison (25'), Muldoon (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Umerah (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Harrogate
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Hartlepool United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Carlisle
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 0-1 Hartlepool United

 With Hartlepool slightly improving since appointing Curle, we think that they will do just enough to win this one, in a closely-fought game. Umerah is likely to be the difference-maker if there is to be one, given his impressive start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawHartlepool United
43.79% (-0.11 -0.11) 27.05% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 29.17% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.84% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)56.11% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)77.18% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)25.44% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)60.27% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51% (0.062000000000012 0.06)34.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (0.065999999999999 0.07)71.21% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 43.78%
    Hartlepool United 29.17%
    Draw 27.04%
Harrogate TownDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 43.78%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 29.17%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Hartlepool
2-0
Harrogate
Ndjoli (17', 33')

Burrell (14')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
Harrogate
1-2
Hartlepool
Armstrong (21')
Molyneux (25'), Ferguson (62')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Hartlepool
3-2
Harrogate
Ferguson (52'), Cullen (53'), Daly (59')
Byrne (27'), Daly (63')
Thomson (28'), Burdett (35' og.)
Smith (55')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Hartlepool
0-1
Harrogate

Toure (36')
Stead (57')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Harrogate
4-1
Hartlepool
Kerry (54'), Muldoon (58' pen., 91'), Falkingham (68')
Kerry (47'), Burrell (63')
Kabamba (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall20134337191843
2Port Vale2110742619737
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster2110653124736
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe209832416835
5Chesterfield2197536231334
6AFC Wimbledon20103731171433
7Notts County208752821731
8Grimsby Town21101102833-531
9MK Dons199373326730
10Gillingham209382218430
11Salford City208662219330
12Bradford CityBradford207762422228
13Bromley206952523227
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham217682930-127
15BarrowBarrow207582018226
16Newport CountyNewport207582731-426
17Colchester UnitedColchester2041152322123
18Fleetwood TownFleetwood195862425-123
19Tranmere RoversTranmere205691529-1421
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2163121732-1521
21Swindon TownSwindon2147102635-919
22Accrington StanleyAccrington204792636-1019
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2036111532-1715
24Morecambe2135131938-1914
> League Two Full Table


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