League Two

League Two | Gameweek 15

Oct 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK

CNG Stadium

Harrogate
2 - 1
Hartlepool

Pattison (25'), Muldoon (43')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Umerah (85')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Harrogate
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hartlepool United

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Carlisle
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Harrogate Town 0-1 Hartlepool United

With Hartlepool slightly improving since appointing Curle, we think that they will do just enough to win this one, in a closely-fought game. Umerah is likely to be the difference-maker if there is to be one, given his impressive start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
43.79% ( -0.11)	27.05% ( 0.02)	29.17% ( 0.09)

Both teams to score 48.84% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.89% (

-0.02)

56.11% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.83% (

-0.02)

77.18% (

0.02)

Harrogate Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.56% (

-0.06)

25.44% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.74% (

-0.09)

60.27% (

0.09)

Hartlepool United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.51% (

0.06)

34.5% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.79% (

0.07)

71.21% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Harrogate Town 43.78%

Hartlepool United 29.17%

Draw 27.04%

Harrogate Town	Draw	Hartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 43.78%	1-1 @ 12.78% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.78% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 9.34% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( 0) Other @ 2.22% Total : 29.17%