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Championship header 2

League Two
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 15, 2022 at 12.30pm UK
CNG Stadium
Hartlepool United

Harrogate
2 - 1
Hartlepool

Pattison (25'), Muldoon (43')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Umerah (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Harrogate Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Harrogate
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

Hartlepool United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Hartlepool 1-3 Carlisle
Saturday, October 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 0-1 Hartlepool United

 With Hartlepool slightly improving since appointing Curle, we think that they will do just enough to win this one, in a closely-fought game. Umerah is likely to be the difference-maker if there is to be one, given his impressive start to the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 43.79%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 29.17% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 0-1 (9.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawHartlepool United
43.79% (-0.11 -0.11) 27.05% (0.015999999999998 0.02) 29.17% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 48.84% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.89% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)56.11% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.83% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)77.18% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.56% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)25.44% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.74% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)60.27% (0.086999999999996 0.09)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51% (0.062000000000012 0.06)34.5% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.79% (0.065999999999999 0.07)71.21% (-0.065000000000012 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 43.78%
    Hartlepool United 29.17%
    Draw 27.04%
Harrogate TownDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.22% (-0.025 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.37% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.28% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 43.78%
1-1 @ 12.78% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.78% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.04%
0-1 @ 9.34% (0.023 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.02 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.76% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 29.17%

Head to Head
Aug 30, 2022 7pm
Hartlepool
2-0
Harrogate
Ndjoli (17', 33')

Burrell (14')
Mar 5, 2022 12.30pm
Harrogate
1-2
Hartlepool
Armstrong (21')
Molyneux (25'), Ferguson (62')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Hartlepool
3-2
Harrogate
Ferguson (52'), Cullen (53'), Daly (59')
Byrne (27'), Daly (63')
Thomson (28'), Burdett (35' og.)
Smith (55')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Hartlepool
0-1
Harrogate

Toure (36')
Stead (57')
Dec 26, 2019 3pm
Harrogate
4-1
Hartlepool
Kerry (54'), Muldoon (58' pen., 91'), Falkingham (68')
Kerry (47'), Burrell (63')
Kabamba (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall25184352232958
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe261210434221246
3Port Vale2612863227544
4AFC Wimbledon24134737191843
5Notts County25127641261543
6Doncaster RoversDoncaster2612773630643
7Salford City2512672921842
8Bradford CityBradford2511863427741
9Grimsby Town26122123741-438
10Chesterfield259883930935
11Bromley2581073531434
12MK Dons25104113937234
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood248973229333
14Colchester UnitedColchester2671273028233
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham2587103438-431
16Gillingham2493122225-330
17BarrowBarrow2577112328-528
18Swindon TownSwindon27610113341-828
19Harrogate TownHarrogate2784152338-1528
20Newport CountyNewport2475123243-1126
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2467113243-1125
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2567121839-2125
23Morecambe2555152240-1820
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2546151939-2018
> League Two Full Table


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