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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 54.37%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 20.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Stevenage in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Stevenage.
Result | ||
Stevenage | Draw | Harrogate Town |
54.37% ( 0.94) | 25.02% ( -0.38) | 20.61% ( -0.56) |
Both teams to score 46.65% ( 0.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.07% ( 0.82) | 54.92% ( -0.82) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.79% ( 0.67) | 76.21% ( -0.67) |
Stevenage Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.82% ( 0.71) | 20.18% ( -0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.52% ( 1.12) | 52.48% ( -1.12) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.45% ( -0.12) | 41.55% ( 0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.96% ( -0.11) | 78.04% ( 0.11) |
Score Analysis |
Stevenage | Draw | Harrogate Town |
1-0 @ 13.41% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.15) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.51% Total : 54.36% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.38% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.71% Total : 25.01% | 0-1 @ 7.36% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.21% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.16% Total : 20.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 46 |
2 | Port Vale | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 27 | 21 | 6 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 35 |
5 | AFC Wimbledon | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 34 |
6 | Chesterfield | 22 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 36 | 25 | 11 | 34 |
7 | Notts County | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 34 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 22 | 11 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 34 |
9 | Salford City | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 33 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 26 | 23 | 3 | 31 |
11 | MK Dons | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 33 | 28 | 5 | 30 |
12 | Bromley | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 30 | 25 | 5 | 30 |
13 | Gillingham | 21 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 30 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 30 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 21 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 25 | 22 | 3 | 26 |
16 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 26 |
17 | BarrowBarrow | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 26 |
18 | Newport CountyNewport | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 26 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 22 | 6 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 34 | -16 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 20 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Morecambe | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | 38 | -18 | 17 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 33 | -18 | 15 |
> League Two Full Table |