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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Carlisle United |
34.99% ( -0.03) | 28.02% ( 0.01) | 36.98% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 47.7% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.64% ( -0.05) | 58.36% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.03% ( -0.04) | 78.97% ( 0.04) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.44% ( -0.05) | 31.56% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.04% ( -0.06) | 67.96% ( 0.06) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.7% ( -0.01) | 30.3% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.51% ( -0.01) | 66.48% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.36% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.45% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.9% Total : 34.99% | 1-1 @ 13.16% 0-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 28.01% | 0-1 @ 11.41% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.86% 0-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.13% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.8% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.31% Total : 36.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |