MX23RW : Tuesday, March 11 03:34:56| >> :300:86500:86500:
AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 14
Oct 8, 2022 at 3pm UK
Victoria Park
Carlisle United

Hartlepool
1 - 3
Carlisle

Lacey (43')
Crawford (3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Moxon (53'), Patrick (75', 82')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 34.99% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Hartlepool United win was 1-0 (11.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawCarlisle United
34.99% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 28.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01) 36.98% (0.023999999999994 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.7% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.64% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)58.36% (0.050999999999995 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.03% (-0.038 -0.04)78.97% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)31.56% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.04% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)67.96% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.7% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)30.3% (0.011999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.51% (-0.012 -0.01)66.48% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 34.99%
    Carlisle United 36.98%
    Draw 28.01%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.59% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 6.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.45% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 34.99%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.56% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28.01%
0-1 @ 11.41% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 6.82% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.13% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 36.98%

Head to Head
Jan 18, 2022 7.45pm
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Carlisle
3-3
Hartlepool
Charters (11'), Mampala (59'), Abrahams (78')
Mampala (67')
Daly (18'), Molyneux (81'), Olomola (89' pen.)
Daly (55')
Aug 28, 2021 3pm
Hartlepool
2-1
Carlisle
Burey (13'), Holohan (69')
Liddle (87')
Clough (38')
Clough (3'), Guy (67')
Apr 14, 2017 3pm
Hartlepool
1-1
Carlisle
Oates (64')
Donnelly (81')
Ibehre (7')
Joyce (19'), Proctor (43'), Ibehre (78'), Devitt (85')
Oct 15, 2016 3pm
Carlisle
3-2
Hartlepool
Ibehre (20'), Grainger (68'), Raynes (79')
Miller (29'), Grainger (63')
Miller (56')
Alessandra (66'), Amond (75')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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