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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
CNG Stadium
Newport County

Harrogate
1 - 0
Newport

Sims (40')
Daly (11')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Harrogate
Tuesday, October 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Bradford 3-1 Newport
Monday, October 7 at 8pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 1-1 Newport County

With two relatively evenly-matched sides both fighting to get back to winning ways on Saturday, we anticipate a hard-fought encounter at the Exercise Stadium and cannot quite pick a winner, instead opting for what would be Newport's first league draw of the season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.36%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
42.36% (0.114 0.11) 24.7% (0.029 0.03) 32.94% (-0.137 -0.14)
Both teams to score 58.05% (-0.147 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)44.95% (0.18 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.7% (-0.165 -0.16)67.3% (0.17100000000001 0.17)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.73% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)21.27% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.81% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)54.2% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.73% (-0.166 -0.17)26.27% (0.172 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.62% (-0.225 -0.23)61.38% (0.232 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 42.36%
    Newport County 32.94%
    Draw 24.7%
Harrogate TownDrawNewport County
2-1 @ 8.95% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.69% (0.042 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.62% (0.0029999999999992 0)
3-0 @ 3.45% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.79%
4-0 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 42.36%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.98% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.042 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.7%
1-2 @ 7.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-1 @ 7.47% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.44% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.23% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.15% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 32.94%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Newport

Harrogate Town
55.0%
Draw
20.0%
Newport County
25.0%
20
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 30
Harrogate
1-4
Newport
Thomson (78')
Falkingham (55')
Evans (31' pen.), Zanzala (33', 52'), Palmer-Houlden (70')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 12
Newport
1-2
Harrogate
Evans (58')
Wildig (65'), Delaney (69')
Thomson (42'), O'Connor (52')
Ramsay (74'), Sivi (90+2')
Apr 25, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Newport
2-3
Harrogate
Bogle (3', 79')
Folarin (5'), Thomson (9'), Armstrong (83')
Aug 27, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 6
Harrogate
0-4
Newport
Bogle (4', 44'), Ramsay (9' og.), Nevers (22')
Drysdale (47'), Waite (51')
Jan 15, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 27
Newport
4-0
Harrogate
Demetriou (8' pen.), Telford (43', 49'), Baker-Richardson (55')
Cooper (22'), Norman (47')

Falkingham (8'), Armstrong (20'), Diarra (40')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213


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