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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
MK Dons

Harrogate
1 - 5
MK Dons

Offord (73' og.)
FT(HT: 0-3)
Leigh (35'), White (45+2'), Gilbey (45+4'), Lemonheigh-Evans (88'), Finch (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Bradford
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawMK Dons
25.79% (-0.716 -0.72) 24.4% (0.387 0.39) 49.81% (0.331 0.33)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-1.927 -1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (-2.236 -2.24)47.6% (2.239 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (-2.102 -2.1)69.8% (2.104 2.1)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (-1.754 -1.75)32.64% (1.757 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-2.011 -2.01)69.19% (2.013 2.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)19.15% (0.737 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.21% (-1.229 -1.23)50.79% (1.232 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 25.79%
    MK Dons 49.81%
    Draw 24.4%
Harrogate TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 7% (0.316 0.32)
2-1 @ 6.48% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.42% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.79%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.564 0.56)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.267 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.708 0.71)
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.54% (0.397 0.4)
1-3 @ 5.27% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.71% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 49.81%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Harrogate
3-5
MK Dons
Odoh (33'), Thomson (45+2', 50')
Gilbey (40'), Dean (43'), Wearne (52'), Tezgel (80'), Harrison (83')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
0-1
Harrogate

Alexander (44'), Williams (54'), Ilunga (90+5'), Dean (90+6')
O'Hora (40' og.)
Oxley (43')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall106131912719
2Gillingham10613125719
3BarrowBarrow10613137619
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster106131512319
5Notts County10532179818
6Port Vale105321512318
7Fleetwood TownFleetwood9441169716
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe9513109116
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Grimsby Town105051317-415
11Chesterfield103521710714
12AFC Wimbledon741295413
13MK Dons103341312112
14Bradford CityBradford93331110112
15Salford City933369-312
16Colchester UnitedColchester102531315-211
17Tranmere RoversTranmere925259-411
18Harrogate TownHarrogate10325916-711
19Bromley102441214-210
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham103161216-410
21Swindon TownSwindon10154913-48
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle102171019-97
23Accrington StanleyAccrington91351119-86
24Morecambe10046814-64


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