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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 9
Oct 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
MK Dons

Harrogate
1 - 5
MK Dons

Offord (73' og.)
FT(HT: 0-3)
Leigh (35'), White (45+2'), Gilbey (45+4'), Lemonheigh-Evans (88'), Finch (90')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Harrogate Town and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Harrogate 2-1 Bradford
Saturday, September 28 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 28 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 49.81%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.56%) and 0-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawMK Dons
25.79% (-0.716 -0.72) 24.4% (0.387 0.39) 49.81% (0.331 0.33)
Both teams to score 54.46% (-1.927 -1.93)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.4% (-2.236 -2.24)47.6% (2.239 2.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.2% (-2.102 -2.1)69.8% (2.104 2.1)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.36% (-1.754 -1.75)32.64% (1.757 1.76)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.81% (-2.011 -2.01)69.19% (2.013 2.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.85% (-0.73399999999999 -0.73)19.15% (0.737 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.21% (-1.229 -1.23)50.79% (1.232 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 25.79%
    MK Dons 49.81%
    Draw 24.4%
Harrogate TownDrawMK Dons
1-0 @ 7% (0.316 0.32)
2-1 @ 6.48% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-0 @ 3.92% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.42% (-0.184 -0.18)
3-2 @ 2% (-0.204 -0.2)
3-0 @ 1.46% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 25.79%
1-1 @ 11.56% (0.26 0.26)
0-0 @ 6.25% (0.564 0.56)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.267 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.1% (-0.14 -0.14)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.4%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.708 0.71)
1-2 @ 9.56% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 8.54% (0.397 0.4)
1-3 @ 5.27% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 4.71% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.221 -0.22)
1-4 @ 2.18% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.95% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 1.22% (-0.122 -0.12)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 49.81%

Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 45
Harrogate
3-5
MK Dons
Odoh (33'), Thomson (45+2', 50')
Gilbey (40'), Dean (43'), Wearne (52'), Tezgel (80'), Harrison (83')
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
MK Dons
0-1
Harrogate

Alexander (44'), Williams (54'), Ilunga (90+5'), Dean (90+6')
O'Hora (40' og.)
Oxley (43')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale159332316730
2Walsall1483327151227
3Notts County1576223131027
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster158342117427
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe147431713425
6MK Dons157352417724
7Grimsby Town158071925-624
8Gillingham157261612423
9Chesterfield1557328181022
10Bradford CityBradford156452016422
11BarrowBarrow156451612422
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
13Salford City155551417-320
14AFC Wimbledon126151810819
15Newport CountyNewport156181926-719
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham155371922-318
17Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
18Accrington StanleyAccrington144461822-416
19Bromley143651618-215
20Harrogate TownHarrogate154381221-915
21Colchester UnitedColchester142751721-413
22Swindon TownSwindon152671623-712
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1532101328-1511
24Morecambe152491426-1210


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