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Cheltenham Town
League Two | Gameweek 5
Sep 7, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Harrogate Town

Cheltenham
1 - 0
Harrogate

Bradbury (90+2')
Haynes (71'), Taylor (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Folarin (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Cheltenham Town and Harrogate Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newport 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, September 3 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Harrogate 0-1 Barrow
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Cheltenham Town 2-1 Harrogate Town

We anticipate a hard-fought contest on Saturday with both teams keen to bounce back to winning ways in League Two. With home advantage on their side and a degree of renewed optimism from a midweek away victory, Cheltenham Town should fancy themselves to take all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 40.54%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 0-1 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cheltenham Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Cheltenham Town.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawHarrogate Town
40.54% (-0.234 -0.23) 26.77% (0.064 0.06) 32.68% (0.168 0.17)
Both teams to score 51.1% (-0.148 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.11% (-0.209 -0.21)53.89% (0.206 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.65% (-0.176 -0.18)75.35% (0.17399999999999 0.17)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.88% (-0.22199999999999 -0.22)26.12% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.81% (-0.298 -0.3)61.19% (0.296 0.3)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.17% (0.007000000000005 0.01)30.83% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)67.11% (-0.01100000000001 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 40.54%
    Harrogate Town 32.68%
    Draw 26.77%
Cheltenham TownDrawHarrogate Town
1-0 @ 10.81% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.54% (-0.035 -0.04)
2-0 @ 7.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 3.82% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.09% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 40.54%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.05% (0.065 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.02% (-0.019 -0.02)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 26.77%
0-1 @ 9.48% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 7.48% (0.018 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.048 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.94% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 32.68%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Harrogate

Cheltenham Town
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Harrogate Town
7.1%
14
Head to Head
May 8, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 46
Cheltenham
4-1
Harrogate
Sercombe (11'), Smith (22'), May (34'), Wright (56')
Muldoon (7')
Feb 9, 2021 6pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall106131912719
2Gillingham10613125719
3BarrowBarrow10613137619
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster106131512319
5Notts County10532179818
6Port Vale105321512318
7Fleetwood TownFleetwood9441169716
8Crewe AlexandraCrewe9513109116
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Grimsby Town105051317-415
11Chesterfield103521710714
12AFC Wimbledon741295413
13MK Dons103341312112
14Bradford CityBradford93331110112
15Salford City933369-312
16Colchester UnitedColchester102531315-211
17Tranmere RoversTranmere925259-411
18Harrogate TownHarrogate10325916-711
19Bromley102441214-210
20Cheltenham TownCheltenham103161216-410
21Swindon TownSwindon10154913-48
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle102171019-97
23Accrington StanleyAccrington91351119-86
24Morecambe10046814-64


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