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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Harrogate Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
24.69% ( -0.02) | 25.21% ( -0.01) | 50.1% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 50.89% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.2% ( 0.02) | 51.79% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.44% ( 0.02) | 73.56% ( -0.02) |
Harrogate Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.16% ( -0) | 35.83% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.39% ( -0) | 72.61% ( 0) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.31% ( 0.02) | 20.69% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.71% ( 0.03) | 53.28% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Harrogate Town | Draw | Northampton Town |
1-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.9% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) Other @ 1.93% Total : 24.69% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.97% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 11.68% 1-2 @ 9.44% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.2% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.96% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.55% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.95% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.9% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 50.1% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |