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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Northampton Town

Harrogate
1 - 1
Northampton

Armstrong (50')
Olaigbe (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pinnock (49')
Yengi (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Northampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-2 Northampton Town

Nobody will argue against the fact that Northampton come into the game stronger on paper; their league form more than supports such an idea, and the consistency and confidence of Brady's coaching has given much hope to the Cobblers' dreams of promotion. However, coming up against an inspired Harrogate team bountiful with goals in recent weeks may prove a challenge too difficult to overcome away from home. An even, competitive match full of risk-taking and high-pace counter-attacks will see a score draw at Wetherby Road this weekend, and expect goals from the in-form Luke Armstrong and Sam Hoskins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNorthampton Town
24.69% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.21% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 50.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02)51.79% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.019000000000002 0.02)73.56% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (0.016999999999996 0.02)20.69% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.029000000000003 0.03)53.28% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 24.69%
    Northampton Town 50.1%
    Draw 25.2%
Harrogate TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66%
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 24.69%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 9.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 4.83% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.95% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 50.1%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Northampton

Harrogate Town
21.7%
Draw
17.4%
Northampton Town
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Harrogate
1-2
Northampton
Diamond (24')
Burrell (51')
Horsfall (7'), Guthrie (49')
McGowan (55'), Rose (69'), Sowerby (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714


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