Nobody will argue against the fact that Northampton come into the game stronger on paper; their league form more than supports such an idea, and the consistency and confidence of Brady's coaching has given much hope to the Cobblers' dreams of promotion.
However, coming up against an inspired Harrogate team bountiful with goals in recent weeks may prove a challenge too difficult to overcome away from home.
An even, competitive match full of risk-taking and high-pace counter-attacks will see a score draw at Wetherby Road this weekend, and expect goals from the in-form Luke Armstrong and Sam Hoskins.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
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