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Harrogate Town
League Two | Gameweek 21
Feb 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
CNG Stadium
Northampton Town

Harrogate
1 - 1
Northampton

Armstrong (50')
Olaigbe (62')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pinnock (49')
Yengi (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Harrogate Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swindon 3-0 Harrogate
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Colchester 0-1 Northampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Harrogate Town 2-2 Northampton Town

Nobody will argue against the fact that Northampton come into the game stronger on paper; their league form more than supports such an idea, and the consistency and confidence of Brady's coaching has given much hope to the Cobblers' dreams of promotion. However, coming up against an inspired Harrogate team bountiful with goals in recent weeks may prove a challenge too difficult to overcome away from home. An even, competitive match full of risk-taking and high-pace counter-attacks will see a score draw at Wetherby Road this weekend, and expect goals from the in-form Luke Armstrong and Sam Hoskins. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 24.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.44%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 1-0 (7.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Harrogate TownDrawNorthampton Town
24.69% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02) 25.21% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 50.1% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 50.89% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.2% (0.021000000000001 0.02)51.79% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.44% (0.019000000000002 0.02)73.56% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Harrogate Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.16% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)35.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)72.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.31% (0.016999999999996 0.02)20.69% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.71% (0.029000000000003 0.03)53.28% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Harrogate Town 24.69%
    Northampton Town 50.1%
    Draw 25.2%
Harrogate TownDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 7.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 3.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.1% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.66%
3-0 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 24.69%
1-1 @ 11.98% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 11.68%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-2 @ 9.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 4.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 4.83% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-3 @ 2.55% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.95% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 1% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 50.1%

How you voted: Harrogate vs Northampton

Harrogate Town
21.7%
Draw
17.4%
Northampton Town
60.9%
23
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Harrogate
1-2
Northampton
Diamond (24')
Burrell (51')
Horsfall (7'), Guthrie (49')
McGowan (55'), Rose (69'), Sowerby (83')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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