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Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Park
Mansfield Town

Hartlepool
1 - 2
Mansfield

Hamilton (19')
Cooke (75'), Featherstone (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oates (47'), Hawkins (60')
Clarke (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Hartlepool United 1-2 Mansfield Town

With Hartlepool United sitting precariously above the League Two relegation zone, despite looking like an improved side in recent weeks, promotion-aspiring Mansfield Town should prevail from the match at the Suit Direct Stadium with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawMansfield Town
19.8% (0.253 0.25) 23.41% (0.178 0.18) 56.79% (-0.43 -0.43)
Both teams to score 50.15% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (-0.388 -0.39)49.66% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (-0.347 -0.35)71.68% (0.348 0.35)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.62% (0.050999999999995 0.05)39.38% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.92% (0.047000000000001 0.05)76.08% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)17.27% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (-0.516 -0.52)47.61% (0.51499999999999 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 19.8%
    Mansfield Town 56.78%
    Draw 23.41%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.108 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.95% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 0.92% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.8%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 11.94% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 10.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.14% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.72% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.7% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.51% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 56.78%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Mansfield

Hartlepool United
28.6%
Draw
23.8%
Mansfield Town
47.6%
21
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
Hartlepool
2-2
Mansfield
Grey (41'), Molyneux (43')
Lapslie (21'), Perch (25')
Lapslie (57'), Perch (73'), Hawkins (90+3')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
3-2
Hartlepool
O'Toole (55'), Bowery (62'), Maris (66')
Law (90+1')
Molyneux (25'), Featherstone (51')
Killip (38'), Byrne (40')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Mansfield
4-0
Hartlepool
Whiteman (19', 76'), Rose (26'), MacDonald (71')
Rose (43')
Sep 17, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall28185554302459
2Doncaster RoversDoncaster29157742321052
3Notts County28148645281750
4AFC Wimbledon27146739201948
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe291212536251148
6Port Vale2813963529648
7Bradford CityBradford28138738281047
8Salford City2812883326744
9Grimsby Town29133134045-542
10Chesterfield28109943321139
11MK Dons28115124240238
12Cheltenham TownCheltenham28108103739-238
13Colchester UnitedColchester2881373329437
14Swindon TownSwindon30910114344-137
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood279993735236
16Bromley2881193637-135
17Gillingham2795132529-432
18BarrowBarrow2887132732-531
19Newport CountyNewport2786133546-1130
20Harrogate TownHarrogate3086162541-1630
21Accrington StanleyAccrington2778123445-1129
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2868142146-2526
23Morecambe2865172644-1823
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2856172246-2421


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