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Championship header 2

League Two
Hartlepool United
League Two | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Victoria Park
Mansfield Town

Hartlepool
1 - 2
Mansfield

Hamilton (19')
Cooke (75'), Featherstone (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Oates (47'), Hawkins (60')
Clarke (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League Two clash between Hartlepool United and Mansfield Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hartlepool United

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Rochdale 1-2 Hartlepool
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 1-1 Northampton
Monday, December 26 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Hartlepool United 1-2 Mansfield Town

 With Hartlepool United sitting precariously above the League Two relegation zone, despite looking like an improved side in recent weeks, promotion-aspiring Mansfield Town should prevail from the match at the Suit Direct Stadium with all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 56.79%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 1-0 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Mansfield Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Mansfield Town.

Result
Hartlepool UnitedDrawMansfield Town
19.8% (0.253 0.25) 23.41% (0.178 0.18) 56.79% (-0.43 -0.43)
Both teams to score 50.15% (-0.136 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.34% (-0.388 -0.39)49.66% (0.388 0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.32% (-0.347 -0.35)71.68% (0.348 0.35)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.62% (0.050999999999995 0.05)39.38% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.92% (0.047000000000001 0.05)76.08% (-0.047000000000011 -0.05)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.72% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)17.27% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.39% (-0.516 -0.52)47.61% (0.51499999999999 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Hartlepool United 19.8%
    Mansfield Town 56.78%
    Draw 23.41%
Hartlepool UnitedDrawMansfield Town
1-0 @ 6.34% (0.108 0.11)
2-1 @ 5.19% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.95% (0.054 0.05)
3-1 @ 1.61% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.42% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 0.92% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 19.8%
1-1 @ 11.13% (0.090000000000002 0.09)
0-0 @ 6.8% (0.107 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 11.94% (0.07 0.07)
0-2 @ 10.48% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
1-2 @ 9.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.14% (-0.082 -0.08)
1-3 @ 5.72% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.7% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.51% (-0.055 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.024 -0.02)
0-5 @ 0.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 56.78%

How you voted: Hartlepool vs Mansfield

Hartlepool United
28.6%
Draw
23.8%
Mansfield Town
47.6%
21
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
Mansfield
2-2
Hartlepool
Lapslie (51'), Harbottle (59')
Maris (38')
Umerah (62', 89')
Mar 29, 2022 7.45pm
Hartlepool
2-2
Mansfield
Grey (41'), Molyneux (43')
Lapslie (21'), Perch (25')
Lapslie (57'), Perch (73'), Hawkins (90+3')
Dec 26, 2021 3pm
Mansfield
3-2
Hartlepool
O'Toole (55'), Bowery (62'), Maris (66')
Law (90+1')
Molyneux (25'), Featherstone (51')
Killip (38'), Byrne (40')
Feb 11, 2017 3pm
Mansfield
4-0
Hartlepool
Whiteman (19', 76'), Rose (26'), MacDonald (71')
Rose (43')
Sep 17, 2016 3pm
Hartlepool
0-0
Mansfield

McGuire (24')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Gillingham9612123919
2Notts County9531178918
3Walsall96031710718
4BarrowBarrow9513116516
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster95131212016
6Fleetwood TownFleetwood8431169715
7Port Vale94321412215
8Grimsby Town95041314-115
9Newport CountyNewport95041517-215
10Chesterfield9342158713
11AFC Wimbledon641194513
12Crewe AlexandraCrewe841389-113
13Bradford CityBradford93331110112
14MK Dons93241211111
15Colchester UnitedColchester92431315-210
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham93151114-310
17Tranmere RoversTranmere824248-410
18Harrogate TownHarrogate9315916-710
19Bromley92341214-29
20Salford City823359-49
21Swindon TownSwindon9144913-47
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle92071019-96
23Morecambe9045712-54
24Accrington StanleyAccrington8035918-93
> League Two Full Table


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