League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
We said: Barrow 2-0 Hartlepool United
Barrow have won their last four games at Holker Street in all competitions, so strugglers Hartlepool should be no match for them on Saturday. We expect it to be a comprehensive victory for the Bluebirds, and they could win by more if they are really on their game.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 55.36% . A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.29% .
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.59%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%) , while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.94%) . The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.
Result Barrow Draw Hartlepool United 55.36% ( -0.74) 24.35% ( 0.1) 20.29% ( 0.64)
Both teams to score 48.11% ( 0.66)
47.24% ( 0.38) 52.76% ( -0.38)
25.61% ( 0.32) 74.39% ( -0.32)
81.04% ( -0.14) 18.96% ( 0.14)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 49.52% ( -0.23) 50.48% ( 0.23)
59.36% ( 0.91) 40.63% ( -0.91)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.77% ( 0.81) 77.23% ( -0.81)
Barrow 55.35%
Hartlepool United 20.29%
Draw 24.34%
Barrow Draw Hartlepool United 1-0 @ 12.8% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.21% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.02% Total : 55.35% 1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.34% 0-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.25% Total : 20.29%
How you voted: Barrow vs Hartlepool
Barrow
Draw
Hartlepool United
31
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-07-05 02:51:49
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