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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Barrow
League Two | Gameweek 19
Nov 19, 2022 at 3pm UK
The Dunes Hotel Stadium
Hartlepool United

Barrow
3 - 1
Hartlepool

Gordon (4'), Whitfield (8'), Waters (21')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Missilou (77')
Hastie (17'), Tumilty (43'), Cooke (47'), Sylla (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Barrow and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Crawley 1-0 Barrow
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Barrow 2-0 Hartlepool United

Barrow have won their last four games at Holker Street in all competitions, so strugglers Hartlepool should be no match for them on Saturday. We expect it to be a comprehensive victory for the Bluebirds, and they could win by more if they are really on their game. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 55.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.65%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (6.94%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
BarrowDrawHartlepool United
55.36% (-0.73500000000001 -0.74) 24.35% (0.099999999999998 0.1) 20.29% (0.637 0.64)
Both teams to score 48.11% (0.661 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.24% (0.379 0.38)52.76% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61% (0.323 0.32)74.39% (-0.32199999999999 -0.32)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.04% (-0.137 -0.14)18.96% (0.137 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.52% (-0.227 -0.23)50.48% (0.229 0.23)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.36% (0.91399999999999 0.91)40.63% (-0.913 -0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.77% (0.812 0.81)77.23% (-0.81100000000001 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Barrow 55.35%
    Hartlepool United 20.29%
    Draw 24.34%
BarrowDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 12.8% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-1 @ 9.59% (0.013 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.91% (-0.168 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.32% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.46% (-0.081 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.4% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 55.35%
1-1 @ 11.53% (0.059999999999999 0.06)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.116 -0.12)
2-2 @ 4.32% (0.113 0.11)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 24.34%
0-1 @ 6.94% (0.069 0.07)
1-2 @ 5.19% (0.157 0.16)
0-2 @ 3.12% (0.107 0.11)
1-3 @ 1.56% (0.084 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.3% (0.065 0.07)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.055 0.05)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 20.29%

How you voted: Barrow vs Hartlepool

Barrow
87.1%
Draw
9.7%
Hartlepool United
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Feb 8, 2022 7.45pm
Hartlepool
3-1
Barrow
Molyneux (27', 39'), Bogle (44')
Byrne (50')
Rooney (17')
Driscoll-Glennon (4'), Brown (30'), Taylor (42')
Aug 14, 2021 3pm
Barrow
3-2
Hartlepool
Zanzala (3'), Gordon (47'), Sea (72')
Arthur (67'), Gordon (90+6')
Burey (17'), Goodwin (61')
Burey (87')
Dec 28, 2019 3pm
Hartlepool
2-2
Barrow
Holohan (55'), Donaldson (76')
Richardson (34'), Toure (52'), Kioso (71')
Hardcastle (46'), Angus (68')
Quigley (73'), Brown (83')
Sep 3, 2019 7.45pm
Barrow
0-1
Hartlepool

Brough (41'), Hardcastle (47'), Barry (78')
Donaldson (71')
Toure (28'), Kioso (81'), Kennedy (91')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall36208865412468
2Bradford CityBradford36199848301866
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster361881053431062
4AFC Wimbledon35179946232360
5Notts County351610953371658
6Port Vale34151364335858
7Crewe AlexandraCrewe36141484437756
8Grimsby Town35175135151056
9Colchester UnitedColchester35121674032852
10Bromley361312114643351
11Salford City351311114337650
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood361213114943649
13Swindon TownSwindon361113125252046
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham351210134650-446
15Chesterfield34129135243945
16BarrowBarrow35127163841-343
17Newport CountyNewport35127164556-1143
18MK Dons35126174650-442
19Gillingham35118163038-841
20Harrogate TownHarrogate36117182945-1640
21Accrington StanleyAccrington3599173954-1536
22Tranmere RoversTranmere36712172755-2833
23Morecambe3685233154-2329
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle3569202551-2627


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