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Rochdale
League Two | Gameweek 23
Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK
Crown Oil Arena
Hartlepool United

Rochdale
1 - 2
Hartlepool

Henderson (60')
Nelson (44')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Menayese (39'), Cooke (80')
Umerah (72'), Sterry (77'), Killip (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Rochdale and Hartlepool United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rochdale 1-4 Harrogate
Saturday, December 3 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Rochdale 2-1 Hartlepool United

Defensively, the Pools have looked out of sorts and unsure of themselves through much of the campaign, and one solid outing is not enough to suggest they have fixed all of those deficiencies which we have seen this season. Aside from their previous encounter, most of Rochdale's matches have been right there for the taking, and finding the back of the net against a unit as leaky as Pools should be a little easier for them than it has been in previous encounters. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 47.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Hartlepool United had a probability of 25.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.76%), while for a Hartlepool United win it was 0-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
RochdaleDrawHartlepool United
47.17% (0.359 0.36) 27.5% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 25.33% (-0.339 -0.34)
Both teams to score 45.01% (-0.211 -0.21)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.27% (-0.131 -0.13)59.73% (0.131 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.97% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)80.03% (0.101 0.1)
Rochdale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.6% (0.11499999999999 0.11)25.4% (-0.115 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.79% (0.158 0.16)60.2% (-0.157 -0.16)
Hartlepool United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.34% (-0.376 -0.38)39.66% (0.376 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.66% (-0.35 -0.35)76.34% (0.34999999999999 0.35)
Score Analysis
    Rochdale 47.16%
    Hartlepool United 25.33%
    Draw 27.49%
RochdaleDrawHartlepool United
1-0 @ 13.8% (0.11 0.11)
2-0 @ 9.46% (0.109 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.75% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.32% (0.064 0.06)
3-1 @ 4% (0.019 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.027 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 47.16%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 10.07% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 9.32% (-0.049000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.9% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-2 @ 4.31% (-0.068 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.82% (-0.041 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.33% (-0.035 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.25% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 25.33%

How you voted: Rochdale vs Hartlepool

Rochdale
60.0%
Draw
0.0%
Hartlepool United
40.0%
5
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Rochdale
2-1
Hartlepool
Keohane (61'), O'Connell (90+4')
Dooley (83')
Morris (10')
Dec 8, 2021 7.45pm
Hartlepool
2-1
Rochdale
Cullen (64'), Shelton (90+2')
Odusina (15')
Andrews (55')
White (66')
Jan 11, 2014 3pm
Hartlepool
0-3
Rochdale

Walton (39')
Donnelly (50'), Cavanagh (63'), Cummins (90')
Cavanagh (57'), Hogan (69')
Aug 3, 2013 3pm
Rochdale
3-0
Hartlepool
Hogan (14'), Donnelly (50'), Henderson (58')
Rafferty (38')
Jan 7, 2012 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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