Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for Bradford City had a probability of 28.09% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Bradford City win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.