League Two | Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
MK Dons0 - 1Port Vale
We said: MK Dons 2-2 Port Vale
Both teams will be confident of victory in this contest, particularly Vale who appear to be growing in confidence under Moore. However, we feel that an entertaining draw will play out, a result that would not necessarily suit either team. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Port Vale |
42.84% ( -0.09) | 24.71% ( 0.02) | 32.45% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 57.84% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.85% ( -0.08) | 45.15% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.5% ( -0.08) | 67.5% ( 0.07) |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.86% ( -0.08) | 21.14% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.01% ( -0.12) | 53.99% ( 0.12) |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.34% ( 0) | 26.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.09% ( 0.01) | 61.9% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
MK Dons 42.84%
Port Vale 32.45%
Draw 24.7%
| MK Dons | Draw | Port Vale |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 42.84% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0)0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.36% ( -0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.7% | 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.62% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 3.15% Total : 32.45% |
How you voted: MK Dons vs Port Vale
MK Dons
31.8%Draw
27.3%Port Vale
40.9%44
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
Form Guide
