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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | 1st Leg
May 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
MK Dons

Crawley
3 - 0
MK Dons

Kelly (5'), Williams (45+1'), Darcy (65')
Maguire (51'), Conroy (66'), Gordon (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Tomlinson (41'), Bate (45'), Harvie (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 4-4 Sutton
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-2 MK Dons

 MK Dons have seen the goals fly in during recent weeks, and we expect more excitement in Monday's first leg, but we think that the visitors may have to settle for a draw against a Crawley side that has avoided defeat in each of their last three matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawMK Dons
35.65% (0.00099999999999767 0) 23.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 40.86% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.48% (0.023000000000003 0.02)38.52% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)60.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.012 0.01)21.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11% (0.016999999999996 0.02)54.89% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (0.013000000000005 0.01)19.24% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)50.95% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 35.65%
    MK Dons 40.86%
    Draw 23.48%
Crawley TownDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 8.03%
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.65%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 40.86%

How you voted: Crawley vs MK Dons

Crawley Town
34.6%
Draw
30.8%
MK Dons
34.6%
52
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
MK Dons
2-0
Crawley
Tomlinson (2'), Gilbey (82')
Dean (17'), Grant (18'), Gilbey (61')

Maguire (7'), Lindsey (8')
Maguire (85')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crawley
2-1
MK Dons
Tsaroulla (15'), Orsi (52')
Williams (90+9')
Eisa (27')
Robson (65'), Hunter (90+9')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
MK Dons
1-0
Crawley
Agard (41')
McGrandles (12'), Walsh (80')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crawley
0-4
MK Dons

Vincelot (64')
Healey (7', 45'), Agard (18'), Aneke (63')
Jan 10, 2015 3pm
Crawley
2-2
MK Dons
McLeod (14' pen., 48')
Tomlin (90')
Grigg (76'), Alli (90')
Alli (87'), Grigg (90'), Baker (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall19124335191640
2Port Vale2010642619736
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe199732416834
4AFC Wimbledon19103631161533
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster209652823533
6Chesterfield2087535231231
7Grimsby Town2010192730-331
8MK Dons1893630201030
9Gillingham199282016429
10Bradford CityBradford197752419528
11Notts County197752521428
12Salford City197662019127
13Cheltenham TownCheltenham207582728-126
14Bromley195952323024
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood185852423123
16BarrowBarrow196581818023
17Newport CountyNewport196582128-723
18Colchester UnitedColchester1941052322122
19Tranmere RoversTranmere195681426-1221
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2063111730-1321
21Accrington StanleyAccrington194782634-819
22Swindon TownSwindon2037102334-1116
23Morecambe2035121936-1714
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1935111532-1714
> League Two Full Table


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