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Championship header 2

League Two
Crawley Town
League Two | 1st Leg
May 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
MK Dons

Crawley
3 - 0
MK Dons

Kelly (5'), Williams (45+1'), Darcy (65')
Maguire (51'), Conroy (66'), Gordon (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Tomlinson (41'), Bate (45'), Harvie (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and MK Dons, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Crawley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 2-0 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

MK Dons

All competitions
Last Game: MK Dons 4-4 Sutton
Saturday, April 27 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-2 MK Dons

 MK Dons have seen the goals fly in during recent weeks, and we expect more excitement in Monday's first leg, but we think that the visitors may have to settle for a draw against a Crawley side that has avoided defeat in each of their last three matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 40.86%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.89%) and 0-2 (5.68%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawMK Dons
35.65% (0.00099999999999767 0) 23.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 40.86% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 63.21% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.48% (0.023000000000003 0.02)38.52% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.19% (0.024000000000001 0.02)60.81% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.27% (0.012 0.01)21.72% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.11% (0.016999999999996 0.02)54.89% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.76% (0.013000000000005 0.01)19.24% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.05% (0.018000000000001 0.02)50.95% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 35.65%
    MK Dons 40.86%
    Draw 23.48%
Crawley TownDrawMK Dons
2-1 @ 8.03%
1-0 @ 6.38% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 4.87% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.37% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.56% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.65%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-0 @ 4.18% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.32%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 8.67% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.89% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 5.68% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-3 @ 4.76% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-3 @ 3.64% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 1.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.29%
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 40.86%

How you voted: Crawley vs MK Dons

Crawley Town
34.6%
Draw
30.8%
MK Dons
34.6%
52
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
MK Dons
2-0
Crawley
Tomlinson (2'), Gilbey (82')
Dean (17'), Grant (18'), Gilbey (61')

Maguire (7'), Lindsey (8')
Maguire (85')
> Preview
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Crawley
2-1
MK Dons
Tsaroulla (15'), Orsi (52')
Williams (90+9')
Eisa (27')
Robson (65'), Hunter (90+9')
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 35
MK Dons
1-0
Crawley
Agard (41')
McGrandles (12'), Walsh (80')
Nov 3, 2018 3pm
Gameweek 17
Crawley
0-4
MK Dons

Vincelot (64')
Healey (7', 45'), Agard (18'), Aneke (63')
Jan 10, 2015 3pm
Crawley
2-2
MK Dons
McLeod (14' pen., 48')
Tomlin (90')
Grigg (76'), Alli (90')
Alli (87'), Grigg (90'), Baker (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Walsall27184552282458
2Notts County27138643271647
3Bradford CityBradford27138638271147
4Crewe AlexandraCrewe281211535241147
5Doncaster RoversDoncaster2713773730746
6AFC Wimbledon26136738201845
7Port Vale2712963328545
8Salford City2712783124743
9Chesterfield27109843311239
10Grimsby Town28123133845-739
11MK Dons27115114138338
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood269983531436
13Bromley2781183635135
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham2798103639-335
15Colchester UnitedColchester2771373028234
16Swindon TownSwindon29810113843-534
17Gillingham2695122427-332
18BarrowBarrow2687112628-231
19Accrington StanleyAccrington2678113343-1029
20Harrogate TownHarrogate2985162440-1629
21Newport CountyNewport2676133446-1227
22Tranmere RoversTranmere2768132043-2326
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle2756162141-2021
24Morecambe2755172242-2020
> League Two Full Table


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