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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Morecambe |
44.97% ( -0.09) | 24.16% ( 0.1) | 30.87% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 59.02% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.71% ( -0.45) | 43.29% ( 0.44) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.31% ( -0.44) | 65.69% ( 0.44) |
Accrington Stanley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.57% ( -0.21) | 19.43% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.74% ( -0.35) | 51.26% ( 0.35) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.25% ( -0.23) | 26.75% ( 0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.97% ( -0.3) | 62.03% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Accrington Stanley | Draw | Morecambe |
2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.16% Total : 44.97% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.15% | 1-2 @ 7.4% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.85% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.12% Total : 30.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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