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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
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Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Morecambe

Accrington
1 - 2
Morecambe

Shipley (89')
Gubbins (60'), Leigh (72'), Shipley (89'), O'Brien (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Khumbeni (55'), Brown (62')
Khumbeni (47'), Tutonda (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-3 Gillingham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Morecambe

Both sides are heading into this game off the back of a really disappointing run of results in the league, and we expect the two teams to fail in their search for victory in this one. Three of the past five meetings between these two sides have ended in a share of the spoils, and we expect this to become the fourth draw in six matches between the two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
44.97% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 24.16% (0.096 0.1) 30.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.02% (-0.342 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71% (-0.445 -0.45)43.29% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.31% (-0.439 -0.44)65.69% (0.438 0.44)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.214 -0.21)19.43% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (-0.352 -0.35)51.26% (0.351 0.35)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.229 -0.23)26.75% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (-0.301 -0.3)62.03% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 44.97%
    Morecambe 30.87%
    Draw 24.15%
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.85% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.87%

How you voted: Accrington vs Morecambe

Accrington Stanley
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Morecambe
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Morecambe
1-1
Accrington
Connolly (64')
Bloxham (61'), Senior (72'), Bedeau (87')
Leigh (70' pen.)
Andrews (61'), Coleman (62'), Hills (63'), Whalley (65')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Morecambe
2-0
Accrington
Shaw (34'), Weir (43')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Accrington
3-1
Morecambe
Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
Astley (77' og.)
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Accrington
2-2
Morecambe
Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45+4')
Bagueloc'rich (85'), Butcher (88')
Ayunga (14', 26')
Diagouraga (38'), Carson (74')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Morecambe
3-3
Accrington
Stockton (15', 81'), Phillips (27')
Gibson (19')
McLoughlin (38')
Bishop (19' pen., 68'), Butcher (21')
Hamilton (39')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, July 5
 
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Spain
vs.
Germany
 
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Portugal
vs.
France
Saturday, July 6
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany32107
Q Switzerland Switzerland31205
3 Hungary Hungary31023
4 Scotland flag Scotland30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain33009
Q Italy Italy31114
3 Croatia Croatia30212
4 Albania national flag Albania30121

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q England flag England31205
Q Denmark Denmark30303
Q Slovenia Slovenia30303
4 Serbia Serbia30212

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Austria Austria32016
Q France France31205
Q Netherlands Netherlands31114
4 Poland Poland30121

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Romania Romania31114
Q Belgium Belgium31114
Q Slovakia Slovakia31114
4 Ukraine Ukraine31114

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Portugal Portugal32016
Q Turkey Turkey32016
Q Georgia Georgia31114
4 Czech Republic Czech Republic30121


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