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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Accrington Stanley
League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Wham Stadium
Morecambe

Accrington
1 - 2
Morecambe

Shipley (89')
Gubbins (60'), Leigh (72'), Shipley (89'), O'Brien (90+9')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Khumbeni (55'), Brown (62')
Khumbeni (47'), Tutonda (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Accrington Stanley and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 2-3 Gillingham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Accrington Stanley 1-1 Morecambe

Both sides are heading into this game off the back of a really disappointing run of results in the league, and we expect the two teams to fail in their search for victory in this one. Three of the past five meetings between these two sides have ended in a share of the spoils, and we expect this to become the fourth draw in six matches between the two. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 44.97%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 30.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
44.97% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 24.16% (0.096 0.1) 30.87% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 59.02% (-0.342 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.71% (-0.445 -0.45)43.29% (0.444 0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.31% (-0.439 -0.44)65.69% (0.438 0.44)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.57% (-0.214 -0.21)19.43% (0.214 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.74% (-0.352 -0.35)51.26% (0.351 0.35)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (-0.229 -0.23)26.75% (0.228 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.97% (-0.301 -0.3)62.03% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Accrington Stanley 44.97%
    Morecambe 30.87%
    Draw 24.15%
Accrington StanleyDrawMorecambe
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.52% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.98% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.02% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.31% (-0.045 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.06% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 44.97%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.2% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.15%
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 6.85% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 3.25% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.99% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 30.87%

How you voted: Accrington vs Morecambe

Accrington Stanley
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
Morecambe
16.7%
6
Head to Head
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Morecambe
1-1
Accrington
Connolly (64')
Bloxham (61'), Senior (72'), Bedeau (87')
Leigh (70' pen.)
Andrews (61'), Coleman (62'), Hills (63'), Whalley (65')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Morecambe
2-0
Accrington
Shaw (34'), Weir (43')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
Accrington
3-1
Morecambe
Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
Astley (77' og.)
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 30
Accrington
2-2
Morecambe
Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45+4')
Bagueloc'rich (85'), Butcher (88')
Ayunga (14', 26')
Diagouraga (38'), Carson (74')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Morecambe
3-3
Accrington
Stockton (15', 81'), Phillips (27')
Gibson (19')
McLoughlin (38')
Bishop (19' pen., 68'), Butcher (21')
Hamilton (39')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137


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