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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 47.39%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Tranmere Rovers had a probability of 26.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.06%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Tranmere Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AFC Wimbledon would win this match.
Result | ||
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
47.39% ( 0.01) | 26.52% ( -0) | 26.09% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 48.32% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.22% ( 0.01) | 55.78% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.09% ( 0) | 76.91% ( -0) |
AFC Wimbledon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.45% ( 0.01) | 23.55% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.4% ( 0.01) | 57.6% ( -0.01) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.2% ( -0) | 36.8% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.41% ( -0) | 73.59% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
AFC Wimbledon | Draw | Tranmere Rovers |
1-0 @ 12.53% 2-0 @ 9.06% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.37% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.37% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.18% 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.58% Other @ 2.66% Total : 47.39% | 1-1 @ 12.52% 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) Other @ 0.8% Total : 26.51% | 0-1 @ 8.66% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 1.51% 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 26.09% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Walsall | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 37 | 19 | 18 | 43 |
2 | Port Vale | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 7 | 37 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 31 | 24 | 7 | 36 |
4 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 35 |
5 | Chesterfield | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 23 | 13 | 34 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 20 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 33 |
7 | Notts County | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 31 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 21 | 10 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 31 |
9 | MK Dons | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33 | 26 | 7 | 30 |
10 | Gillingham | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 30 |
11 | Salford City | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 19 | 3 | 30 |
12 | Bradford CityBradford | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 28 |
13 | Bromley | 20 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 23 | 2 | 27 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 27 |
15 | BarrowBarrow | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 26 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31 | -4 | 26 |
17 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 20 | 4 | 11 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
18 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 25 | -1 | 23 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 21 |
20 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 32 | -15 | 21 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 21 | 4 | 7 | 10 | 26 | 35 | -9 | 19 |
22 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 20 | 4 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 19 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 20 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 32 | -17 | 15 |
24 | Morecambe | 21 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 19 | 38 | -19 | 14 |
> League Two Full Table |