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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 46.47%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.11%) and 1-2 (8.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.75%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Bradford City |
26.29% ( 0.24) | 27.24% ( 0.14) | 46.47% ( -0.38) |
Both teams to score 46.47% ( -0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.76% ( -0.36) | 58.24% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.12% ( -0.28) | 78.88% ( 0.28) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.02% ( 0.01) | 37.98% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.25% ( 0.01) | 74.75% ( -0.01) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.93% ( -0.34) | 25.07% ( 0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.25% ( -0.48) | 59.75% ( 0.48) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Bradford City |
1-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 6.17% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.44% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.63% Total : 26.29% | 1-1 @ 12.75% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.23% | 0-1 @ 13.17% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 4.2% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.45% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.26% Total : 46.46% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 30 |
2 | Walsall | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
3 | Notts County | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22 | 12 | 10 | 26 |
4 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 20 | 16 | 4 | 26 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 24 |
6 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 22 |
7 | Bradford CityBradford | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 22 |
8 | MK Dons | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 21 |
9 | BarrowBarrow | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 11 | 4 | 21 |
10 | Grimsby Town | 14 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 21 |
11 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 12 | 3 | 20 |
12 | Salford City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 20 |
13 | AFC Wimbledon | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 19 |
14 | Newport CountyNewport | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 24 | -6 | 19 |
15 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 18 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 17 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | -8 | 15 |
18 | Bromley | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 14 |
20 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 13 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 12 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 8 |
24 | Morecambe | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 7 |
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